Result
13:13
28/02/2026 at 10:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Canal+ Live 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 40+1', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (13 - 10)
- 47', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
- 50', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
- 59', Smaili M. (Try),
- 59', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', Moukoro T. (Try),
- 66', Domon M. 🟨,
- 67', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Lyon
61.8% | Draw
3.8% | Toulon
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyon's performance.Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (+4%)
Lyon - Toulon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.73) |
25.01 ↑
(18.49) |
2.64 ↑
(2.31) |
8.1%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for Lyon - Toulon?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:25.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lyon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Lyon will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 420:517. (average 21:25.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 255:184. (average 28.3:20.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Toulon?
Lyon has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulon won against Lyon?
Toulon has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Toulon were as follows:
01.11.2025
Toulon
-
Lyon
54:21
01.03.2025
Lyon
-
Toulon
27:20
02.11.2024
Toulon
-
Lyon
21:10
11.05.2024
Toulon
-
Lyon
30:24
19.08.2023
Lyon
-
Toulon
27:15
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 20 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 795:438 | 71 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 591:514 | 59 |
| 3 | Stade Francais Paris | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 623:495 | 59 |
| 4 | Bordeaux Begles | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 656:520 | 59 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 610:452 | 57 |
| 6 | Clermont | 20 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 633:551 | 52 |
| 7 | Racing 92 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 583:606 | 50 |
| 8 | Castres Olympique | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 501:570 | 47 |
| 9 | Stade Rochelais | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 586:519 | 45 |
| 10 | Aviron Bayonnais | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 553:636 | 45 |
| 11 | RC Toulonnais | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 512:618 | 45 |
| 12 | Lyon | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 570:551 | 44 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 20 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 408:563 | 23 |
| 14 | Montauban | 20 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 381:969 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
