Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 22
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (203/279) | 88% (485/553) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 3.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 63 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (203/279) | 88% (485/553) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (30/65) | 66% (23/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 79% (186/236) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 28% (10/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 2.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 43% (9/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.18 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.18 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Sangante A. 🟥,
- 30', Messali R. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 0, Soumare I. ⚽,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Sidibe D. ⚽, Cresswell C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Diaw M. ↓, Mpasi-Nzau L. ↑,
- 49', Casseres C. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Boufal S. (A),
- 54', Restes G. 🟨,
- 55', Ebonog S. 🟨,
- 62', Casseres C. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
- 62', Nicolaisen R. ↓, Methalie D. ↑,
- 62', Emersonn ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
- 65', Boufal S. ↓, Mosengo D. N. ↑,
- 65', Ebonog S. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
- 70', Methalie D. 🟨,
- 83', Sidibe D. ↓, Vignolo J. ↑,
- 84', Zagadou S. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
- 88', Hidalgo S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ndiaye R. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Le Havre
30.5% | Draw
29.9% | Toulouse
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Le Havre - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↓
(3.43) |
3.2 ↓
(3.26) |
2.41 ↑
(2.17) |
4.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Toulouse will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 32% – 80.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Toulouse (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Le Havre (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 25%). Toulouse (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2.
- Recent performances by Le Havre have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toulouse is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Le Havre: Seko A.
(Ribs Injury)
Toure A.
(Knee Injury)
Youte Kinkoue E.
(Health problems)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Francis A.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Vinette E. K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Toulouse: Dominguez A.
(Inactive)
Magri F.
(Knee Injury)
Vossah A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Toulouse?
Le Havre has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Le Havre?
Toulouse has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Toulouse were as follows:
02.11.2025
Toulouse
-
Le Havre
0:0
23.02.2025
Le Havre
-
Toulouse
1:4
15.09.2024
Toulouse
-
Le Havre
2:0
10.03.2024
Le Havre
-
Toulouse
1:0
05.11.2023
Toulouse
-
Le Havre
1:2
Latest results of Le Havre
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
