Le Havre vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/02/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Océane (Le Havre).

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 23
Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN 4, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.84	2.50
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Goal Attempts
11	11
Shots on Goal
3	5
Shots off Goal
6	4
Blocked Shots
2	2
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
5	3
Shots inside the Box
6	8
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
Free Kicks
13	11
Offsides
2	1
Fouls
11	13
Yellow Cards
0	1
Red Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
16	16
Touches in the Opposition Box
18	24
Passes
86% (378/438)	84% (338/401)
Passes in the final third
71% (79/112)	69% (61/88)
Crosses
17% (5/29)	50% (4/8)
Tackles
76% (16/21)	48% (12/25)
Clearances Total
27	35
Interceptions
8	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Aboukhlal Z. ⚽, Babicka S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 1 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Joujou A. (A),
56', 1 - 2, Sierro V. (Pen),
57', Mwanga J. 🟥,
63', Babicka S. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
63', Sidibe D. ↓, Canvot J. ↑,
63', 1 - 3, Donnum A. ⚽, Suazo G. (A),
65', Hassan A. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
65', Joujou A. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
65', Kechta Y. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
70', Aboukhlal Z. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
73', Sierro V. 🟨,
75', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Zouaoui Y. ↑,
78', 1 - 4, Magri F. ⚽, Donnum A. (A),
83', Suazo G. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
83', Sierro V. ↓, Zajc M. ↑,
85', Casimir J. ↓, Housni I. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5xsu9pnz

Chances of winning

Le Havre
25.7%

Draw
28.7%

Toulouse
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

27.5%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

28%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Le Havre - Toulouse Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.79)	3.32 ↓ (3.46)	2.11 ↑ (2.01)	4.3% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español

What is the prediction for Le Havre - Toulouse?

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 9 - 25%). Toulouse will win (votes: 22 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 45.2% – 77%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 2.
Recent matches Le Havre is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Toulouse is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Toulouse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Toulouse have a series of home games.
Toulouse will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Le Havre: Ballo-Toure F. (Ankle Injury) Logbo A. (Shoulder Injury) Mosengo D. N. (Knee Injury) Toure A. (Ribs Injury)
There will not play in Toulouse: King J. (Injury) Restes G. (Thigh Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:13 (average 1:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Toulouse?

Le Havre has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Le Havre?

Toulouse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Toulouse were as follows:

15.09.2024 Toulouse - Le Havre 2:0

10.03.2024 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:0

05.11.2023 Toulouse - Le Havre 1:2

Latest results of Le Havre

16.02.2025 Le Havre - Nice 1:3 ✺

08.02.2025 Lille - Le Havre 1:2 ✺

02.02.2025 Angers - Le Havre 1:1 ✺

26.01.2025 Le Havre - Brest 0:1 ✺

19.01.2025 Reims - Le Havre 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Toulouse

15.02.2025 Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 2:2 ✺

05.02.2025 Toulouse - Guingamp 0:2 ✺

02.02.2025 Toulouse - Nice 1:1 ✺

26.01.2025 Toulouse - Montpellier 1:2 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Lille	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Metz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Nice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	PSG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Angers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Brest	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Lens	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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