Lorient vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Lorient - Toulouse
Result
1:2
28/04/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicVoyo
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.81
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1514
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
67
Blocked Shots
42
Free Kicks
118
Corner Kicks
50
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
1817
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Fouls
1417
Yellow Cards
13
Total Passes
416430
Completed Passes
353359
Tackles
1423
Attacks
9588
Dangerous Attacks
5626
Clearances Completed
922
Crosses Completed
53
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Ponceau J. ,
  • 31', Adjei N. 🟨,
  • 38', Diarra M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Suazo G. , Schmidt N. ,
  • 51', Aboukhlal Z. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Dallinga T. ,
  • 62', Spierings S. , Casseres C. ,
  • 63', Donnum A. , Babicka S. ,
  • 63', Keben K. , Desler M. ,
  • 72', Toure I. , Laporte J. ,
  • 72', Louza I. , Bakayoko T. ,
  • 79', Aboukhlal Z. , Cissoko I. ,
  • 81', Mendy B. , Yongwa D. ,
  • 82', Katseris P. , Kroupi E. J. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Cissoko I. , Schmidt N. (A),
  • 85', Bamba M. , Tosin A. ,
  • 87', Sierro V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lorient
38.7%
Draw
27.5%
Toulouse
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 28.1% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 27.7% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Lorient - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.63)
    3.48
    (3.38)
    2.83
    (2.66)
    4.4%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lorient - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Toulouse will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 24.5%63.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 1.
    • Lorient has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Toulouse is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Toulouse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Lorient won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-19.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Toulouse were as follows:
    03.12.2023 Toulouse - Lorient 1:1
    23.04.2023 Lorient - Toulouse 0:1
    Latest results of Lorient
    19.04.2024 Nice - Lorient 3:0
    07.04.2024 Montpellier - Lorient 2:0
    31.03.2024 Lorient - Brest 0:1
    17.03.2024 Monaco - Lorient 2:2
    Latest results of Toulouse
    13.04.2024 Rennes - Toulouse 1:2
    07.04.2024 Toulouse - Strasbourg 0:0
    31.03.2024 Clermont - Toulouse 0:3
    15.03.2024 Toulouse - Lyon 2:3
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG33008:359
    2Lyon33005:059
    3Monaco43018:539
    4Lille321011:477
    5Marseille42029:456
    6Lens32015:326
    7Strasbourg32014:316
    8Toulouse32016:606
    9Nice42025:506
    10Angers31112:204
    11Rennes31112:5-34
    12Le Havre31025:6-13
    13Nantes41031:3-23
    14Paris FC31025:8-33
    15Auxerre41033:6-33
    16Lorient41035:12-73
    17Brest30124:8-41
    18Metz30032:7-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2