Result
1:2
28/04/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 31
- Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Voyo |
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 416 | 430 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 353 | 359 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 95 | 88 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 56 | 26 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Ponceau J. ⚽,
- 31', Adjei N. 🟨,
- 38', Diarra M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Suazo G. ↓, Schmidt N. ↑,
- 51', Aboukhlal Z. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Dallinga T. ⚽,
- 62', Spierings S. ↓, Casseres C. ↑,
- 63', Donnum A. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
- 63', Keben K. ↓, Desler M. ↑,
- 72', Toure I. ↓, Laporte J. ↑,
- 72', Louza I. ↓, Bakayoko T. ↑,
- 79', Aboukhlal Z. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
- 81', Mendy B. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
- 82', Katseris P. ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Cissoko I. ⚽, Schmidt N. (A),
- 85', Bamba M. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
- 87', Sierro V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lorient
38.7% | Draw
27.5% | Toulouse
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Lorient - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.63) |
3.48 ↑
(3.38) |
2.83 ↑
(2.66) |
4.4%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lorient - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Toulouse will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 24.5% – 63.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 1.
- Lorient has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Toulouse is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Toulouse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Lorient won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-19.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Toulouse?
Lorient has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Lorient?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Toulouse were as follows:
03.12.2023
Toulouse
-
Lorient
1:1
23.04.2023
Lorient
-
Toulouse
0:1
Latest results of Lorient
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Lens | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Marseille | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | Monaco | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
