Toulouse vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
4:0
19/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.340.08
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
162
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
84% (272/325)90% (545/608)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.340.08
xG on target (xGOT)
3.320.55
Total shots
162
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
60
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
131
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
345
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
84% (272/325)90% (545/608)
Long passes
48% (11/23)48% (29/60)
Passes in final third
65% (64/98)73% (54/74)
Crosses
47% (7/15)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.18
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
1411
Tackles
77% (10/13)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4347
Clearances
1617
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.553.32
Goals prevented
0.55-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Magri F. ⚽, Emersonn (A),
  • 8', 2 - 0, Donnum A. (Pen),
  • 34', Abuashvili G. 🟨,
  • 37', Magri F. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Sane S. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Abuashvili G. ↓, Yegbe T. ↑,
  • 64', Magri F. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,
  • 64', Sidibe D. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
  • 71', Traore B. ↓, Deminguet J. ↑,
  • 71', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Tsitaishvili G. ↑,
  • 75', Emersonn 🟨,
  • 76', Emersonn ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
  • 76', Methalie D. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Gboho Y. ⚽, Cresswell C. (A),
  • 83', Gboho Y. ↓, Vignolo J. ↑,
  • 83', Hein G. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
  • 84', Diallo H. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Cresswell C. ⚽, Donnum A. (A),

Chances of winning


Toulouse
61.9%		Draw
22.5%		Metz
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 23.5% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 20.2% 18.5%

Toulouse - Metz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.55 ↓
(1.56)		 4.27 ↑
(4.04)		 6.15 ↑
(5.96)		 4.1%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 24 - 61.5%). Metz will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 46.2% – 76.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Toulouse (1.87) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Toulouse (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Metz (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Toulouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Toulouse is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Messali R. (Ankle Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Stambouli B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Metz: Ballo-Toure F. (Neck Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Metz were as follows:
    14.01.2024 Metz - Toulouse 0:1
    01.10.2023 Toulouse - Metz 3:0
    Latest results of Toulouse
    05.10.2025 Lyon - Toulouse 1:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Toulouse - Nantes 2:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 1:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Lille - Toulouse 2:1 ✺
    30.08.2025 Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain 3:6 ✺
    Latest results of Metz
    04.10.2025 Metz - Olympique Marseille 0:3 ✺
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Metz - Angers 1:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Paris FC - Metz 3:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

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          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
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