Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 9
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (323/420) | 70% (245/348) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (323/420) | 70% (245/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (25/69) | 38% (20/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (35/63) | 58% (66/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Salisu M. ⚽, Ouattara K. (A),
- 18', Golovin A. 🟨,
- 34', Francis A. 🟨,
- 45', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Coulibaly M. ↓, Teze J. ↑,
- 54', Emersonn 🟨,
- 60', Balogun F. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
- 60', Fati A. ↓, Akliouche M. ↑,
- 66', Kehrer T. 🟨,
- 66', Francis A. ↓, Vossah A. ↑,
- 67', Methalie D. 🟨,
- 73', Nicolaisen R. ↓, Sidibe D. ↑,
- 73', Magri F. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 76', Golovin A. ↓, Cabral P. ↑,
- 84', Casseres C. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
- 84', Methalie D. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
- 90+5', Cresswell C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monaco
53% | Draw
24.5% | Toulouse
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Monaco - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.72) |
4.02 ↓
(4.15) |
4.41 ↑
(4.3) |
2.7%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monaco - Toulouse?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - draw (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -1 - Monaco (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Toulouse (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Toulouse (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Monaco will win
(31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Toulouse (votes: 4 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Monaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Monaco: Camara L.
(Ankle Injury)
Dier E.
(Muscle Injury)
Hradecky L.
(Knee Injury)
Pogba P.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Zakaria D.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Monaco: Diatta K.
(Injury)
Vanderson
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Toulouse: Messali R.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:20. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Toulouse?
Monaco has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Monaco?
Toulouse has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Toulouse were as follows:
07.03.2025
Toulouse
-
Monaco
1:1
07.12.2024
Monaco
-
Toulouse
2:0
18.02.2024
Monaco
-
Toulouse
1:2
20.12.2023
Toulouse
-
Monaco
1:2
03.06.2023
Monaco
-
Toulouse
1:2
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
