Result
25/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 9
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Monaco
53% | Draw
24.5% | Toulouse
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Monaco - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.72) |
4.02 ↓
(4.15) |
4.41 ↑
(4.3) |
2.7%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monaco - Toulouse?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Monaco will win
(31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Monaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Monaco: Camara L.
(Ankle Injury)
Dier E.
(Muscle Injury)
Hradecky L.
(Knee Injury)
Pogba P.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Zakaria D.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Monaco: Diatta K.
(Injury)
Vanderson
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Toulouse: Messali R.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:20. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Toulouse?
Monaco has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Monaco?
Toulouse has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Toulouse were as follows:
07.03.2025
Toulouse
-
Monaco
1:1
07.12.2024
Monaco
-
Toulouse
2:0
18.02.2024
Monaco
-
Toulouse
1:2
20.12.2023
Toulouse
-
Monaco
1:2
03.06.2023
Monaco
-
Toulouse
1:2
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
