Monaco vs Toulouse, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 9
  • Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilCaze TV
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 GOLD Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.990.94
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
77% (323/420)70% (245/348)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.990.94
xG on target (xGOT)
2.230.35
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
77% (323/420)70% (245/348)
Long passes
36% (25/69)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
56% (35/63)58% (66/113)
Crosses
67% (6/9)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.871.03
Throw-ins
1924
Fouls
1518
Tackles
60% (15/25)79% (11/14)
Duels won
6562
Clearances
3812
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.352.23
Goals prevented
0.351.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Salisu M. ⚽, Ouattara K. (A),
  • 18', Golovin A. 🟨,
  • 34', Francis A. 🟨,
  • 45', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Coulibaly M. ↓, Teze J. ↑,
  • 54', Emersonn 🟨,
  • 60', Balogun F. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
  • 60', Fati A. ↓, Akliouche M. ↑,
  • 66', Kehrer T. 🟨,
  • 66', Francis A. ↓, Vossah A. ↑,
  • 67', Methalie D. 🟨,
  • 73', Nicolaisen R. ↓, Sidibe D. ↑,
  • 73', Magri F. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
  • 76', Golovin A. ↓, Cabral P. ↑,
  • 84', Casseres C. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
  • 84', Methalie D. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
  • 90+5', Cresswell C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monaco
53%		Draw
24.5%		Toulouse
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 22.8% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 22.5% 22.3%

Monaco - Toulouse Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.82 ↑
(1.72)		 4.02 ↓
(4.15)		 4.41 ↑
(4.3)		 2.7%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monaco - Toulouse?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - draw (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1 - Monaco (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Toulouse (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Toulouse (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Monaco will win (31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Toulouse (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Monaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Camara L. (Ankle Injury) Dier E. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Diatta K. (Injury) Vanderson (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toulouse: Messali R. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:20. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Toulouse were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Toulouse - Monaco 1:1
    07.12.2024 Monaco - Toulouse 2:0
    18.02.2024 Monaco - Toulouse 1:2
    20.12.2023 Toulouse - Monaco 1:2
    03.06.2023 Monaco - Toulouse 1:2
    Latest results of Monaco
    22.10.2025 Monaco - Tottenham Hotspur 0:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Angers - Monaco 1:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:2 ✺
    01.10.2025 Monaco - Manchester City 2:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Lorient - Monaco 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Toulouse
    19.10.2025 Toulouse - Metz 4:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 Lyon - Toulouse 1:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Toulouse - Nantes 2:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 1:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Lille - Toulouse 2:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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