Toulouse vs Monaco, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
2:2
25/04/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoFOX One, FOX Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.640.95
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
55
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
42
Passes
86% (443/514)84% (417/496)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.640.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.96
Total shots
188
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
50
Shots inside the box
105
Shots outside the box
83
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3116
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1017
Passes
86% (443/514)84% (417/496)
Long passes
45% (21/47)25% (11/44)
Passes in final third
69% (87/126)63% (61/97)
Crosses
33% (5/15)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.71
Throw ins
1717
Fouls
1710
Tackles
59% (13/22)55% (12/22)
Duels won
5863
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
1511
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
0.961.59
Goals prevented
-1.04-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Teze J. ⚽, Adingra S. (A),
  • 18', 0 - 2, Camara L. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
  • 31', Cresswell C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', Fati A. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Russell-Rowe J. ⚽, Methalie D. (A),
  • 62', Mawissa C. 🟨,
  • 66', Nicolaisen R. 🟨,
  • 74', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Emersonn ↑,
  • 75', Akliouche M. ↓, Dier E. ↑,
  • 75', Hradecky L. 🟨,
  • 79', Vossah A. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
  • 79', Hidalgo S. ↓, Azizi I. ↑,
  • 84', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
  • 84', Adingra S. ↓, Pogba P. ↑,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Emersonn ⚽,
  • 90+1', Demba P. ↓, Vignolo J. ↑,
  • 90+1', Methalie D. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
  • 90+2', Sauer M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Toulouse
22.2%		Draw
23.6%		Monaco
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 26.9% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 26.3% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toulouse's form might have worsened.
  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toulouse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Toulouse - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.33 ↑
    (2.96)    		 4.03 ↑
    (3.51)    		 1.76 ↓
    (2.3)    		 4.6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Toulouse - Monaco?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Monaco (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Monaco (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Monaco will win (28 of 34 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.53% – 95.17%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
    • Toulouse has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Monaco is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Toulouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Monaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Francis A. (Broken Leg) Gboho Y. (Red Card) Magri F. (Knee Injury) Messali R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Brunner P. (Injury) Caio Henrique (Thigh Injury) Idumbo S. (Shoulder Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Ouattara K. (Knee Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury) Vanderson (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Monaco were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Monaco - Toulouse 1:0
    07.03.2025 Toulouse - Monaco 1:1
    07.12.2024 Monaco - Toulouse 2:0
    18.02.2024 Monaco - Toulouse 1:2
    20.12.2023 Toulouse - Monaco 1:2
    Latest results of Toulouse
    21.04.2026 Lens - Toulouse 4:1 ✺
    17.04.2026 Lens - Toulouse 3:2 ✺
    12.04.2026 Toulouse - Lille 0:4 ✺
    03.04.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse 3:1 ✺
    21.03.2026 Toulouse - Lorient 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Monaco
    19.04.2026 Monaco - Auxerre 2:2 ✺
    10.04.2026 Paris FC - Monaco 4:1 ✺
    05.04.2026 Monaco - Olympique Marseille 2:1 ✺
    22.03.2026 Lyon - Monaco 1:2 ✺
    14.03.2026 Monaco - Brest 2:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 31224570:274370
    2Lens31204761:332864
    3Lille32177851:351658
    4Lyon31176848:321657
    5Rennes31168754:421256
    6Monaco321661056:48854
    7Marseille321651159:441553
    8Strasbourg311371150:41946
    9Lorient3210121044:49-542
    10Toulouse321181345:45041
    11Paris FC3210111144:47-341
    12Brest311081341:51-1038
    13Angers32971627:46-1934
    14Le Havre326141230:43-1332
    15Nice327101536:58-2231
    16Auxerre326101630:43-1328
    17Nantes32581929:51-2223
    18Metz32372232:72-4016

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