Perpignan vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Perpignan - Toulouse
Result
42:35
07/06/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app

Match Stats

Tries
65
Conversion Goals
65
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 21)
  • 13', Ntamack R. (Try),
  • 13', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Delibes D. (Try),
  • 25', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 38', Tuilagi P. (Try),
  • 38', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Graou P. (Try),
  • 40', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (35 - 14)
  • 51', Joseph J. (Try),
  • 51', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 51', Lebel M. 🟨,
  • 58', Roumat A. 🟨,
  • 59', Lotrian M. (Try),
  • 59', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Lotrian M. (Try),
  • 63', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 66', Castro-Ferreira M. (Try),
  • 66', Graou P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 69', Duguivalu A. (Try),
  • 69', Delpy V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Joseph J. (Try),
  • 75', Delpy V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80+2', Galtier M. (Try),
  • 80+2', Graou P. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Perpignan
40%
Draw
3.9%
Toulouse
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 4.5% 47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 4.4% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perpignan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perpignan's form might have worsened.
  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perpignan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Perpignan - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.94)
    23.83
    (20.5)
    1.65
    (1.94)
    8.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Perpignan - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Perpignan will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:26.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Top 14 (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perpignan won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Perpignan won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 322:409. (average 21.5:27.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Perpignan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 216:152. (average 27:19).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perpignan - Toulouse were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Toulouse - Perpignan 41:9
    09.03.2024 Perpignan - Toulouse 27:17
    11.11.2023 Toulouse - Perpignan 43:34
    13.05.2023 Perpignan - Toulouse 26:21
    03.12.2022 Toulouse - Perpignan 34:13
    Latest results of Perpignan
    31.05.2025 La Rochelle - Perpignan 38:15
    17.05.2025 Clermont - Perpignan 31:13
    10.05.2025 Perpignan - Stade Français 20:18
    26.04.2025 Montpellier - Perpignan 19:13
    19.04.2025 Perpignan - Racing Métro 28:24
    Latest results of Toulouse
    01.06.2025 Toulouse - Lyon 43:3
    17.05.2025 Toulouse - Racing Métro 35:37
    10.05.2025 Toulon - Toulouse 16:50
    04.05.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulouse 35:18
    26.04.2025 Toulouse - Castres 52:6
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais00000:00
    2Castres Olympique00000:00
    3Clermont00000:00
    4Montauban00000:00
    5Montpellier00000:00
    6Stade Francais Paris00000:00
    7USA Perpignan00000:00
    8RC Toulonnais00000:00
    9Stade Toulousain00000:00
    10Racing 9200000:00
    11Stade Rochelais00000:00
    12Bordeaux Begles00000:00
    13Lyon00000:00
    14Section Paloise00000:00

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          Top 14 (Relegation)
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