Toulouse vs Racing Métro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
48:24
29/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCANAL+ France
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player

Match Stats

Tries
73
Conversion Goals
53
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (15 - 3)
  • 6', Seunes U. (Penalty Goal),
  • 16', Meafou E. (Try),
  • 34', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 38', Ravutaumada S. 🟨,
  • 40', Elias E. (Try),
  • 40', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Tarrit J. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (33 - 21)
  • 49', Remue M. (Try),
  • 49', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 52', Hulleu W. (Try),
  • 52', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Tuisova J. 🟨,
  • 59', Lebel M. (Try),
  • 59', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Lebel M. (Try),
  • 63', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Capuozzo A. (Try),
  • 65', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 70', Castro-Ferreira M. (Try),
  • 75', Taofifenua R. (Try),
  • 75', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80+4', (Try),
  • 80+4', (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Toulouse
88.7%
Draw
2.3%
Racing Métro
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
92.4% 2.1% 5.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Racing Métro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Toulouse - Racing Métro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.06
    (1.02)
    41.45
    (45.78)
    10.69
    (16.99)
    6.6%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-19)
    What is the prediction for Toulouse - Racing Métro?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -25.5 - Racing Métro (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 50%). Racing Métro (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 39:20.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 4.
    • Toulouse is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Racing Métro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Toulouse is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 562:413. (average 28.1:20.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 325:187. (average 29.5:17).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Racing Métro were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Toulouse - Racing Métro 35:37
    30.11.2024 Racing Métro - Toulouse 17:21
    27.04.2024 Toulouse - Racing Métro 32:12
    07.04.2024 Toulouse - Racing Métro 31:7
    28.01.2024 Racing Métro - Toulouse 20:27
    Latest results of Toulouse
    22.11.2025 Montauban - Toulouse 7:49
    01.11.2025 Toulouse - Stade Français 29:17
    26.10.2025 Toulouse - Toulon 59:24
    18.10.2025 Section Paloise - Toulouse 30:26
    12.10.2025 Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles 56:13
    Latest results of Racing Métro
    02.11.2025 La Rochelle - Racing Métro 33:6
    19.10.2025 Toulon - Racing Métro 38:21
    11.10.2025 Racing Métro - Montpellier 32:25
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain181404730:36567
    2Section Paloise181206558:47755
    3Montpellier181017561:39053
    4Clermont181107596:46751
    5Bordeaux Begles181008591:48350
    6Stade Francais Paris18918513:44849
    7RC Toulonnais18918465:53645
    8Racing 92181017514:55845
    9Castres Olympique18909431:50142
    10Stade Rochelais188010551:48741
    11Lyon18819521:50239
    12Aviron Bayonnais188010467:59536
    13USA Perpignan184014344:51118
    14Montauban181116338:8607

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2