Toulouse vs Roche Vendée – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
75:62
04/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LFB Women - Play Out - Round 1

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6161
Field goals made
2422
Field goals %
39.34%36.07%
2-point field goals attempts
4740
2-point field goals made
2217
2-point field goals %
46.81%42.5%
3-point field goals attempts
1421
3-point field goals made
25
3-point field goals %
14.29%23.81%
Free throws attempts
3117
Free throws made
2513
Free throws %
80.6%76.5%
Offensive rebounds
1312
Defensive rebounds
2825
Total rebounds
4137
Assists
208
Blocks
15
Turnovers
1723
Steals
139
Personal fouls
1420

Chances of winning


Toulouse
58.9%
Roche Vendée
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 53.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulouse's performance.
  • Roche Vendée has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roche Vendée might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toulouse that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roche Vendée than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roche Vendée could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Toulouse - Roche Vendée Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.92)

    2.25
    (1.74)
    8.3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 148.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • Toulouse is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Roche Vendée is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 295:302. (average 73.8:75.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 145:147. (average 72.5:73.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Roche Vendée were as follows:
    07.01.2026 Roche Vendée - Toulouse 83:74
    04.10.2025 Toulouse - Roche Vendée 66:65
    25.03.2023 Roche Vendée - Toulouse 72:76
    17.12.2022 Toulouse - Roche Vendée 79:82
    Latest results of Toulouse
    Latest results of Roche Vendée
    French LFB Table
    Play Out
    PlWLPts
    9Toulouse W743475:49011
    10Lyon W743516:46610
    11Angers W734455:46110
    12La Roche W734483:51210

          Relegation