Result
2:3
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 34
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 3, DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 13 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 3.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (529/590) | 84% (373/445) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 3.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 3.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (529/590) | 84% (373/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (23/41) | 50% (27/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (160/198) | 74% (91/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.02 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Kamanzi W. ⚽, Gboho Y. (A),
- 15', 0 - 2, King J. ⚽, Magri F. (A),
- 23', Moueffek A. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
- 30', Wadji I. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 2, Tardieu F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bernauer M. ↓, Batubinsika D. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 3, Gboho Y. ⚽, King J. (A),
- 59', King J. ↓, Aboukhlal Z. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 3, Batubinsika D. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
- 69', Wadji I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
- 70', Davitashvili Z. 🟨,
- 70', Casseres C. 🟨,
- 72', Sidibe D. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
- 83', Cardona I. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
- 84', Bouchouari B. 🟨,
- 86', Kamanzi W. ↓, Akdag U. ↑,
- 86', Magri F. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
- 90', Restes G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
44% | Draw
24.1% | Toulouse
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Étienne's performance.Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-18.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Étienne that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+16.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Saint-Étienne - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(3.76) |
3.97 ↑
(3.76) |
3.03 ↑
(1.91) |
4.9%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
Saint-Étienne will win
(103 of 117 users predict this - 88.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.15% – 93.91%. The data is statistically significant.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Étienne will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Saint-Étienne might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A.
(Ankle Injury)
Stassin L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Donnum A.
(Injury)
Nicolaisen R.
(Calf Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
Suazo G.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Toulouse?
Saint-Étienne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Saint-Étienne?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Toulouse were as follows:
13.12.2024
Toulouse
-
Saint-Étienne
2:1
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
