Saint-Étienne vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne).

Ligue 1 - Round 34
Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN 3, DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 13
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	3.34
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
18	17
Shots on target
7	9
Big Chances
2	7
Corner Kicks
7	6
Passes
90% (529/590)	84% (373/445)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	3.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.55	3.02
Total shots
18	17
Shots on target
7	9
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
11	15
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	7
Corner Kicks
7	6
Touches in opposition box
24	40
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
0	4
Free Kicks
7	10
Passes
90% (529/590)	84% (373/445)
Long passes
56% (23/41)	50% (27/54)
Passes in final third
81% (160/198)	74% (91/123)
Crosses
23% (7/30)	43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.08	2.47
Throw-ins
19	10
Fouls
10	7
Tackles
84% (16/19)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
51	52
Clearances
20	38
Interceptions
14	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	5
xGOT faced
3.02	1.55
Goals prevented
0.02	-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Kamanzi W. ⚽, Gboho Y. (A),
15', 0 - 2, King J. ⚽, Magri F. (A),
23', Moueffek A. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
30', Wadji I. 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Tardieu F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bernauer M. ↓, Batubinsika D. ↑,
58', 1 - 3, Gboho Y. ⚽, King J. (A),
59', King J. ↓, Aboukhlal Z. ↑,
63', 2 - 3, Batubinsika D. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
69', Wadji I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
70', Davitashvili Z. 🟨,
70', Casseres C. 🟨,
72', Sidibe D. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
83', Cardona I. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
84', Bouchouari B. 🟨,
86', Kamanzi W. ↓, Akdag U. ↑,
86', Magri F. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
90', Restes G. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Saint-Étienne
44%

Draw
24.1%

Toulouse
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

24.7%

48.6%

Saint-Étienne - Toulouse Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (3.76)	3.97 ↑ (3.76)	3.03 ↑ (1.91)	4.9% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Toulouse?

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (103 of 117 users predict this - 88.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.15% – 93.91%. The data is statistically significant.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Étienne will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Saint-Étienne might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Ankle Injury) Stassin L. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Toulouse: Donnum A. (Injury) Nicolaisen R. (Calf Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury) Suazo G. (Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Toulouse?

Saint-Étienne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Saint-Étienne?

Toulouse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Toulouse were as follows:

13.12.2024 Toulouse - Saint-Étienne 2:1

Latest results of Saint-Étienne

10.05.2025 Reims - Saint-Étienne 0:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Saint-Étienne - Monaco 1:3 ✺

26.04.2025 Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne 3:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Lyon 2:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Brest 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Toulouse

10.05.2025 Toulouse - Lens 1:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Toulouse - Rennes 2:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Nantes - Toulouse 0:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Reims - Toulouse 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Toulouse - Lille 1:2 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lens	16	12	1	3	28:13	15	37
2	PSG	16	11	3	2	35:14	21	36
3	Marseille	16	10	2	4	36:15	21	32
4	Lille	16	10	2	4	33:20	13	32
5	Lyon	16	8	3	5	22:16	6	27
6	Rennes	16	7	6	3	27:24	3	27
7	Strasbourg	16	7	2	7	25:20	5	23
8	Toulouse	16	6	5	5	24:19	5	23
9	Monaco	16	7	2	7	26:27	-1	23
10	Angers	16	6	4	6	17:18	-1	22
11	Brest	16	5	4	7	21:27	-6	19
12	Lorient	16	4	6	6	19:28	-9	18
13	Nice	16	5	2	9	19:29	-10	17
14	Paris FC	16	4	4	8	21:29	-8	16
15	Le Havre	16	3	6	7	13:22	-9	15
16	Auxerre	16	3	3	10	14:25	-11	12
17	Nantes	16	2	5	9	14:28	-14	11
18	Metz	16	3	2	11	17:37	-20	11

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