Result
2:3
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 34
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Brazil | Caze TV |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | DAZN 3, DAZN France |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
India | GXR World |
Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 13 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 3.34 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
90% (529/590) | 84% (373/445) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 3.34 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.55 | 3.02 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 15 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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24 | 40 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
90% (529/590) | 84% (373/445) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (23/41) | 50% (27/54) |
Passes in final third |
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81% (160/198) | 74% (91/123) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (7/30) | 43% (6/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.08 | 2.47 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
84% (16/19) | 76% (13/17) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 38 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.02 | 1.55 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.02 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Kamanzi W. ⚽, Gboho Y. (A),
- 15', 0 - 2, King J. ⚽, Magri F. (A),
- 23', Moueffek A. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
- 30', Wadji I. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 2, Tardieu F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bernauer M. ↓, Batubinsika D. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 3, Gboho Y. ⚽, King J. (A),
- 59', King J. ↓, Aboukhlal Z. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 3, Batubinsika D. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
- 69', Wadji I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
- 70', Davitashvili Z. 🟨,
- 70', Casseres C. 🟨,
- 72', Sidibe D. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
- 83', Cardona I. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
- 84', Bouchouari B. 🟨,
- 86', Kamanzi W. ↓, Akdag U. ↑,
- 86', Magri F. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
- 90', Restes G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne 44% | Draw 24.1% | Toulouse 31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Étienne's performance.Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-18.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Étienne that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+16.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Saint-Étienne - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↓ (3.76) |
3.97 ↑ (3.76) |
3.03 ↑ (1.91) |
4.9% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
Saint-Étienne will win
(103 of 117 users predict this - 88.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.15% – 93.91%. The data is statistically significant.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Étienne will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Saint-Étienne might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A.
(Ankle Injury)
Stassin L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Donnum A.
(Injury)
Nicolaisen R.
(Calf Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
Suazo G.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Toulouse?
Saint-Étienne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Saint-Étienne?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Toulouse were as follows:
13.12.2024
Toulouse
-
Saint-Étienne
2:1
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2