Result
15/02/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Stade Français 64.8% | Draw 4.6% | Toulouse 30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Stade Français - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↓ (1.44) |
19.79 ↓ (20.33) |
3.03 ↑ (2.87) |
8.7% (9%) | |
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Stade Français is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Stade Français will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 428:566. (average 21.4:28.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stade Français won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 243:197. (average 24.3:19.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Français won against Toulouse?
Stade Français has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Stade Français?
Toulouse has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Français - Toulouse were as follows:
01.11.2025
Toulouse
-
Stade Français
29:17
20.04.2025
Stade Français
-
Toulouse
21:27
29.12.2024
Toulouse
-
Stade Français
38:23
12.05.2024
Toulouse
-
Stade Français
49:18
03.12.2023
Stade Français
-
Toulouse
27:12
Latest results of Stade Français
Latest results of Toulouse
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 649:343 | 58 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 495:420 | 51 |
| 3 | Bordeaux Begles | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 517:412 | 45 |
| 4 | Montpellier | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 477:340 | 44 |
| 5 | Stade Francais Paris | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 462:414 | 43 |
| 6 | RC Toulonnais | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 438:489 | 43 |
| 7 | Castres Olympique | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 373:413 | 41 |
| 8 | Clermont | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 524:438 | 41 |
| 9 | Racing 92 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 456:481 | 41 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 487:418 | 37 |
| 11 | Aviron Bayonnais | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 416:516 | 35 |
| 12 | Lyon | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 435:477 | 32 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 16 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 283:445 | 14 |
| 14 | Montauban | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 313:719 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2