Toulouse vs Thonon Évian – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Seconde Ligue Women - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 0, ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Toulouse
54.9%
Draw
25.4%
Thonon Évian
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 21.3% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3% 20% 12.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toulouse's form might have worsened.
  • Thonon Évian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thonon Évian's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toulouse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thonon Évian than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thonon Évian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toulouse - Thonon Évian Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.41)
    3.55
    (4.3)
    4.59
    (6.76)
    10.9%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women and 7).
    • Toulouse is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Thonon Évian has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Toulouse is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Toulouse will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toulouse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, Toulouse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Thonon Évian were as follows:
    05.11.2022 Toulouse - Thonon Évian 1:3
    Latest results of Toulouse
    28.03.2026 Reims - Toulouse 0:0
    22.03.2026 Toulouse - Saint-Malo 2:0
    14.03.2026 Toulouse - Metz 2:0
    22.02.2026 Guingamp - Toulouse 1:4
    14.02.2026 Toulouse - Nice 2:0
    Latest results of Thonon Évian
    29.03.2026 Thonon Évian - Guingamp 2:0
    22.03.2026 Nice - Thonon Évian 2:1
    15.03.2026 Thonon Évian - Auxerre 2:1
    22.02.2026 Le Mans - Thonon Évian 1:0
    15.02.2026 Thonon Évian - Grenoble 1:2
    French Division 2 Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toulouse W ✔ 18142239:112844
    2Saint-Malo W18102630:26432
    3Auxerre W1894524:16831
    4Le Mans W1892719:18129
    5Lille W1884624:19528
    6Grenoble W1875621:19226
    7Thonon Evian W1873825:22324
    8Nice W1865721:22-123
    9Reims W1855819:29-1020
    10Rodez AF W18621011:24-1320
    11Metz W18531020:28-818
    12Guingamp W18231314:33-199

          Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Toulouse W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premiere Ligue Women