Result
16:50
10/05/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (13 - 14)
- 8', Abadie E. 🟨,
- 10', (Penalty Try),
- 10', Serin B. 🟨,
- 12', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
- 15', Castro-Ferreira M. (Try),
- 16', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
- 25', Costes P. 🟨,
- 28', Alainu'uese B. (Try),
- 29', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Serin B. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (3 - 36)
- 49', Chocobares S. (Try),
- 53', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
- 59', Saito N. (Try),
- 66', Costes P. (Try),
- 68', Lebel M. (Try),
- 69', Graou P. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Barassi P. (Try),
- 75', Graou P. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Graou P. (Try),
- 79', Graou P. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Toulon
65.5% | Draw
3.8% | Toulouse
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Toulon - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.35) |
24.33 ↑
(21) |
3.06 ↓
(3.5) |
7.6%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 53.00The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Toulon - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Toulouse will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toulon (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:24.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 2.
- Toulon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toulouse is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toulon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Toulon is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Toulon will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 355:472. (average 17.8:23.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 230:166. (average 23:16.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulon won against Toulouse?
Toulon has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Toulon?
Toulouse has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulon - Toulouse were as follows:
13.04.2025
Toulon
-
Toulouse
18:21
27.10.2024
Toulouse
-
Toulon
57:5
20.04.2024
Toulon
-
Toulouse
20:19
23.12.2023
Toulouse
-
Toulon
25:17
18.02.2023
Toulon
-
Toulouse
17:6
Latest results of Toulouse
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Aviron Bayonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Castres Olympique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montauban | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | USA Perpignan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Stade Toulousain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Racing 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Stade Rochelais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bordeaux Begles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Section Paloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
