Adelaide Lightning vs Townsville Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
69:83
04/01/2026 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WNBL Women - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9Now, ESPN

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5651
Field Goals Made
2626
Field Goals %
46.43%50.98%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3926
2-Point Field Goals Made
2015
2-Point Field Goals %
51.28%57.69%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
1725
3-Point Field Goals Made
611
3-Point Field Goals %
35.29%44%
Free Throws Attempted
1229
Free Throws Made
1120
Free Throws %
91.7%69%
Offensive Rebounds
55
Defensive Rebounds
2424
Total Rebounds
2929
Assists
2124
Blocks
01
Turnovers
1312
Steals
68
Personal Fouls
2214

Chances of winning


Adelaide Lightning
10.1%
Townsville Fire
89.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.2% 86.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Townsville Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Adelaide Lightning - Townsville Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.14
    (6.84)

    1.03
    (1.04)
    8%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 155.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-18)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 0.
    • Adelaide is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Townsville has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Adelaide has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Townsville has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Townsville is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 1359:1411. (average 68:70.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 553:578. (average 61.4:64.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Lightning - Townsville Fire were as follows:
    25.11.2025 Adelaide Lightning - Townsville Fire 64:90
    15.11.2025 Townsville Fire - Adelaide Lightning 103:69
    05.02.2025 Adelaide Lightning - Townsville Fire 63:90
    29.11.2024 Adelaide Lightning - Townsville Fire 68:69
    23.11.2024 Townsville Fire - Adelaide Lightning 53:47
    Latest results of Adelaide Lightning
    Latest results of Townsville Fire
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Townsville W (1)Southside W (4)2 : 1
    2Perth Lynx W (2)Bendigo W (3)2 : 0

    Final
    1Townsville W (1)Perth Lynx W (2)1 : 0