Townsville Fire vs Bendigo Spirit – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
84:66
08/02/2026 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WNBL Women - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9Now, ESPN

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7157
Field goals made
2923
Field goals %
40.85%40.35%
2-point field goals attempts
4030
2-point field goals made
2013
2-point field goals %
50%43.33%
3-point field goals attempts
3127
3-point field goals made
910
3-point field goals %
29.03%37.04%
Free throws attempts
1817
Free throws made
1710
Free throws %
94.4%58.8%
Offensive rebounds
169
Defensive rebounds
2926
Total rebounds
4535
Assists
1614
Blocks
00
Turnovers
1117
Steals
83
Personal fouls
1815

Chances of winning


Townsville Fire
64.8%
Bendigo Spirit
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Townsville Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Townsville Fire's performance.
  • Bendigo Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bendigo Spirit might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Townsville Fire than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Townsville Fire that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bendigo Spirit than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bendigo Spirit could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Townsville Fire - Bendigo Spirit Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.54)

    2.63
    (2.19)
    8%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 152.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Townsville won 1.
    • Townsville is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bendigo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Townsville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Townsville will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Townsville won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 1101:1100. (average 68.8:68.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Townsville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 542:595. (average 67.8:74.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Townsville Fire - Bendigo Spirit were as follows:
    31.12.2025 Townsville Fire - Bendigo Spirit 61:73
    18.10.2025 Bendigo Spirit - Townsville Fire 66:74
    08.03.2025 Townsville Fire - Bendigo Spirit 55:63
    05.03.2025 Bendigo Spirit - Townsville Fire 70:60
    31.12.2024 Townsville Fire - Bendigo Spirit 65:76
    Latest results of Townsville Fire
    Latest results of Bendigo Spirit
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Townsville W (1)Southside W (4)2 : 1
    2Perth Lynx W (2)Bendigo W (3)2 : 0

    Final
    1Townsville W (1)Perth Lynx W (2)1 : 0