Perth Lynx vs Townsville Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
105:108 OT
01/03/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WNBL Women - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9Now, ESPN

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9181
Field goals made
3940
Field goals %
42.86%49.38%
2-point field goals attempts
5752
2-point field goals made
2830
2-point field goals %
49.12%57.69%
3-point field goals attempts
3429
3-point field goals made
1110
3-point field goals %
32.35%34.48%
Free throws attempts
1823
Free throws made
1618
Free throws %
88.9%78.3%
Offensive rebounds
1814
Defensive rebounds
2932
Total rebounds
4746
Assists
2428
Blocks
42
Turnovers
1113
Steals
33
Personal fouls
2622

Chances of winning


Perth Lynx
70.5%
Townsville Fire
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perth Lynx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Townsville Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Lynx than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perth Lynx that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Townsville Fire than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Townsville Fire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Perth Lynx - Townsville Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.35)

    3.14
    (2.72)
    7.9%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 165.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
    What is the prediction for Perth Lynx - Townsville Fire?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Townsville (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 166.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Townsville (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5, OT - Townsville (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6, OT - Townsville (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Townsville (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • Townsville leads series 1-0. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Townsville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Townsville has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Perth is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1663:1782. (average 83.2:89.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 859:888. (average 85.9:88.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perth Lynx - Townsville Fire were as follows:
    26.02.2026 Townsville Fire - Perth Lynx 88:79
    20.01.2026 Perth Lynx - Townsville Fire 76:82
    14.12.2025 Townsville Fire - Perth Lynx 81:97
    04.11.2025 Perth Lynx - Townsville Fire 70:79
    26.02.2025 Townsville Fire - Perth Lynx 106:76
    Latest results of Perth Lynx
    26.02.2026 Townsville Fire - Perth Lynx 88:79
    17.02.2026 Bendigo Spirit - Perth Lynx 75:81
    14.02.2026 Perth Lynx - Bendigo Spirit 86:76
    07.02.2026 Perth Lynx - Sydney Flames 108:93
    01.02.2026 Bendigo Spirit - Perth Lynx 64:88
    Latest results of Townsville Fire
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Townsville W (1)Southside W (4)2 : 1
    2Perth Lynx W (2)Bendigo W (3)2 : 0

    Final
    1Townsville W (1)Perth Lynx W (2)2 : 0