Townsville Flames vs Mackay Meteorettes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
70:67
04/07/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 North Women

Chances of winning


Townsville Flames
20.7%
Mackay Meteorettes
79.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 65%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Townsville Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Townsville Flames's form might have worsened.
  • Mackay Meteorettes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mackay Meteorettes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Townsville Flames than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Townsville Flames, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackay Meteorettes than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mackay Meteorettes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.5
    (2.58)

    1.18
    (1.4)
    7.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 159.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
    What is the prediction for Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Townsville (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +8.5, OT - Townsville (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +9, OT - Townsville (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Townsville (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 75:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Townsville won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Mackay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mackay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Townsville won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 721:669. (average 80.1:74.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Townsville won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 424:351. (average 84.8:70.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Mackay Meteorettes - Townsville Flames 85:74
    11.05.2024 Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes 101:73
    12.04.2024 Mackay Meteorettes - Townsville Flames 66:84
    17.06.2023 Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes 81:75
    31.03.2023 Mackay Meteorettes - Townsville Flames 90:69
    Australian NBL1 North Women Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Southern District Spartans W330284:2051.000
    2Logan Thunder W220180:1011.000
    3Cairns W220200:1221.000
    4Northside Wizards W11074:651.000
    5Mackay Meteorettes W211170:1550.500
    6Ipswich Force W211145:1350.500
    7Sunshine Coast Phoenix W211151:1430.500
    8Townsville Flames W211150:1750.500
    9Gold Coast Rollers W211125:1640.500
    10Brisbane Capitals W312223:2820.333
    11North Gold Coast Seahawks W202160:1960.000
    12Rockhampton W202137:1870.000
    13South West Metro Pirates W303178:2470.000

          Promotion ~ NBL1 North Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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