Honda Heat vs Toyota Verblitz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Japan League One Rugby Union Honda Heat - Toyota Verblitz
Result
30:38
03/05/2025 at 23:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanJ sports 2

Match Stats

Tries
46
Conversion Goals
24
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
20
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (11 - 31)
  • 5', Tupou W. (Try),
  • 6', Komura S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', Gwante O. (Penalty Goal),
  • 12', Manu J. (Try),
  • 15', Gwante O. (Penalty Goal),
  • 16', Hikosaka Y. (Try),
  • 17', Komura S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 32', Dickson J. (Try),
  • 32', Komura S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Gwante O. (Try),
  • 40+1', Hikosaka Y. (Try),
  • 2nd Half (19 - 7)
  • 51', Uemura H. (Try),
  • 51', Gwante O. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Mostert F. (Try),
  • 69', Tuidraki V. (Try),
  • 69', Komura S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80+3', (Try),
  • 80+3', (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Honda Heat
51.6%
Draw
3.9%
Toyota Verblitz
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 4.5% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 5.1% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Honda Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Toyota Verblitz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honda Heat than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Honda Heat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toyota Verblitz than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toyota Verblitz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Honda Heat - Toyota Verblitz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.75)
    23.5
    (20)
    2.08
    (2.05)
    8%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 59.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • Honda Heat is League One (Relegation ~ Play Offs )
    • Honda Heat is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Toyota Verblitz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Honda Heat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Honda Heat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 60:174. (average 15:43.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Honda Heat - Toyota Verblitz were as follows:
    28.12.2024 Toyota Verblitz - Honda Heat 17:21
    17.02.2024 Toyota Verblitz - Honda Heat 54:7
    Latest results of Honda Heat
    Latest results of Toyota Verblitz
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Toshiba Brave LupusBye
    2Shizuoka Blue RevsKobe Steel20 : 35
    3Wild KnightsBye
    4Spears KubotaSuntory Sungoliath20 : 15

    Semi-finals
    1Toshiba Brave LupusKobe Steel31 : 3
    2Wild KnightsSpears Kubota24 : 28

    Final
    1Toshiba Brave LupusSpears Kubota18 : 13

    3rd place
    2Kobe SteelWild Knights22 : 17