TPS U20 vs KalPa U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SM-sarja U20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 10:16, 1 - 0, Pikkarainen K. (G), Fugleberg P. (A), Uusikartano A. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 10:05, 2 - 0, Pikkarainen K. (G), Laine L. (A), Fugleberg P. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 13:04, 2 - 1, Timofejev D. (G), Kokkonen L. (A), Pulkkanen A. (A2)

Chances of winning


TPS U20
51.6%
Draw
20.9%
KalPa U20
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 22% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 23.6% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • TPS U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • KalPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TPS U20 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • TPS U20 - KalPa U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.86)
    4.31
    (4.18)
    3.26
    (3.22)
    11.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • KalPa U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • TPS U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 69:66. (average 3.5:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, TPS U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:37. (average 4.1:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between TPS U20 - KalPa U20 were as follows:
    27.09.2025 KalPa U20 - TPS U20 4:2
    20.12.2024 KalPa U20 - TPS U20 4:3
    22.09.2024 TPS U20 - KalPa U20 4:5
    17.02.2024 TPS U20 - KalPa U20 2:1
    08.12.2023 KalPa U20 - TPS U20 5:2
    Latest results of TPS U20
    10.01.2026 Lukko U20 - TPS U20 3:4
    09.01.2026 TPS U20 - Ässät U20 5:1
    04.01.2026 TPS U20 - Jokerit U20 4:0
    03.01.2026 TPS U20 - Kärpät U20 1:2
    20.12.2025 Pelicans U20 - TPS U20 2:4
    Latest results of KalPa U20
    10.01.2026 Ilves U20 - KalPa U20 7:5
    04.01.2026 KalPa U20 - HPK U20 4:3
    03.01.2026 KooKoo U20 - KalPa U20 0:2
    19.12.2025 Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20 2:3
    Finnish SM-sarja U20 Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ilves U20 ✔ 4026545177:9192
    2Pelicans Lahti U20 ✔ 3923529139:8581
    3Assat U2040213313128:9672
    4Jyvaskyla U2041195413121:11371
    5Jukurit U2040184414121:11366
    6Kiekko-Espoo U2039174513126:10264
    7Tappara U2039164613121:11462
    8Hameenlinna U2040172615129:11761
    9TPS U2041173417104:10761
    10Karpat U2040173317113:12660
    11KooKoo U2039128415102:10456
    12KalPa U2040145318149:14955
    13IFK Helsinki U2039152517118:12354
    14Jokerit U2039135417114:12553
    15Vaasan Sport U2039127218111:13152
    16Lukko U203914232091:11449
    17SaiPa U203983622104:17536
    18RoKi U20395242891:17423

          Promotion ~ SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          SM~sarja U20 (Relegation)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ilves U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Pelicans Lahti U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)