Result
1:5
17/01/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 3.52 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 20% (5/25) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 80% (20/25) | 95% (19/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.4 | 56.6 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 04:36, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
- 13:12, 0 - 1, Yliniemi S. (G), Knuutinen H. (A),
- 15:41, Tuulola E. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 01:06, 0 - 2, Pakkila E. (G), Lehtonen S. (A), Dudas A. (A2)
- 06:02, Arell N. (2 min),
- 17:38, Vesterinen R. (2 min),
- 19:10, 0 - 3, Yliniemi S. (G), Intonen A. (A), Salin O. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 05:56, Ketola J. (2 min),
- 08:44, 1 - 3, Vesterinen R. (G), Kiiskinen J. (A), Huttunen H. (A2)
- 11:24, 1 - 4, Yliniemi S. (G), Talvitie A. (A), Knuutinen H. (A2)
- 14:02, 1 - 5, Haapanen T. (G), Soderlund T. (A), Beaudin J. (A2)
Chances of winning
HPK
37.3% | Draw
23.5% | TPS
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HPK's form might have worsened.TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting TPS's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TPS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HPK - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.2) |
3.97 ↑
(3.93) |
2.4 ↓
(2.75) |
6.6%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Liiga (Relegation) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches HPK won 1.
- Recent matches HPK is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- TPS is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- TPS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches HPK won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 40:56 (average 2:2.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams HPK won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:24 (average 1.4:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against TPS?
HPK has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against HPK?
TPS has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - TPS were as follows:
28.12.2024
TPS
-
HPK
4:2
26.10.2024
HPK
-
TPS
2:0
25.09.2024
TPS
-
HPK
6:5
17.08.2024
TPS
-
HPK
7:1
07.02.2024
HPK
-
TPS
2:5
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
