Result
1:0
29/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 2.10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.13% (1/32) | 0% (0/24) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (24/24) | 96.88% (31/32) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 55.56 | 44.44 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 04:22, Antonen J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 00:48, 1 - 0, Maatta J. (G), Pakkila E. (A), Teissala L. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 07:15, Munkki V. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
TPS - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.13) |
3.95 ↓
(4.2) |
3.12 ↑
(2.85) |
6.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for TPS - HPK?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 3 - 50%). HPK will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. TPS (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, HPK has had a series of away games.
- TPS will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that TPS will win today's game, with odds of 2.14.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 59:35. (average 3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 3.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against HPK?
TPS has won 12 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against TPS?
HPK has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - HPK were as follows:
09.09.2025
HPK
-
TPS
2:3
16.08.2025
TPS
-
HPK
2:0
17.01.2025
HPK
-
TPS
1:5
28.12.2024
TPS
-
HPK
4:2
26.10.2024
HPK
-
TPS
2:0
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
