Result
4:3
04/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 2.15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.79% (4/29) | 11.54% (3/26) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.46% (23/26) | 86.21% (25/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 02:53, 0 - 1, Haapanen T. (G), Intonen A. (A), Wernblom L. (A2)
- 07:15, 0 - 2, Soderlund T. (G), Palmu P. (A), Beaudin J. (A2)
- 19:31, Dudas A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 02:34, Kovarcik M. (2 min),
- 07:00, 1 - 2, Heikkala V. (G), Anttila M. (A), Bjork M. (A2)
- 08:01, 2 - 2, Tardif B. (G), Gardiner R. (A), Pokka V. (A2)
- 13:32, 2 - 3, Wernblom L. (G), Lehtonen S. (A), Arell N. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 08:19, Haapanen T. (2 min),
- 11:57, 3 - 3, Turunen T. (G), Koivisto M. (A), Kovarcik M. (A2)
- 13:57, 4 - 3, Korpimaki M. (G), Hermonen J. (A), Paaso A. (A2)
Chances of winning
Kärpät
54.3% | Draw
21.2% | TPS
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+2%)
Kärpät - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.87) |
4.45 ↑
(4.15) |
3.86 ↑
(3.32) |
6.3%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- TPS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Kärpät will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 57:44 (average 2.9:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kärpät won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:21 (average 2.4:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against TPS?
Kärpät has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Kärpät?
TPS has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - TPS were as follows:
05.10.2024
TPS
-
Kärpät
2:4
27.01.2024
Kärpät
-
TPS
4:3
28.12.2023
TPS
-
Kärpät
3:5
25.10.2023
TPS
-
Kärpät
1:0
20.09.2023
Kärpät
-
TPS
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
