Result
0:4
21/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.39 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/19) | 20% (4/20) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 84.21% (16/19) | 100% (19/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 44.68 | 55.32 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:16, Landen A. (2 min),
- 16:42, 0 - 1, Soderlund T. (G), Yliniemi S. (A), Rafkin R. (A2)
- 17:20, 0 - 2, Savinainen V. (G), Teissala L. (A),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:38, 0 - 3, Reunanen T. (G),
- 12:43, Hirvonen R. (2 min),
- 15:03, Ohtamaa A. (5 min),
- 15:03, Ohtamaa A. (2 min),
- 15:27, 0 - 4, Wernblom L. (G),
- 16', (2 min),
Chances of winning
Kärpät
45.4% | Draw
24.3% | TPS
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kärpät - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(2.1) |
3.87 ↑
(3.85) |
3.12 ↑
(3) |
5.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 4.
- Kärpät has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- TPS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Kärpät has had a series of home games.
- Kärpät could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Kärpät will win today's game, with odds of 2.08.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 60:45. (average 3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 2.8:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against TPS?
Kärpät has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Kärpät?
TPS has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - TPS were as follows:
04.01.2025
Kärpät
-
TPS
4:3
05.10.2024
TPS
-
Kärpät
2:4
27.01.2024
Kärpät
-
TPS
4:3
28.12.2023
TPS
-
Kärpät
3:5
25.10.2023
TPS
-
Kärpät
1:0
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 24 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 74:50 | 48 |
| 2 | JYP | 21 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 86:59 | 46 |
| 3 | Tappara | 24 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 82:55 | 45 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 24 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 86:67 | 43 |
| 5 | Lukko | 23 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 68:64 | 38 |
| 6 | Jukurit | 25 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 61:67 | 37 |
| 7 | TPS Turku | 25 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 58:61 | 36 |
| 8 | SaiPa | 24 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 72:69 | 35 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 24 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 67:70 | 35 |
| 10 | KalPa | 21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 68:66 | 34 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 23 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 62:63 | 34 |
| 12 | Karpat | 25 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 81:84 | 30 |
| 13 | Ilves | 23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 66:77 | 30 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 22 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 40:58 | 26 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 22 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 53:70 | 24 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 42:86 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
