Result
3:0
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.55 | 2.63 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
21 | 25 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 13 |
Shooting PCT |
---|
14.29% (3/21) | 0% (0/25) |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 9 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
25 | 18 |
Saves PCT |
---|
100% (25/25) | 90% (18/20) |
Penalties |
---|
5 | 6 |
PIM |
---|
10 | 12 |
Power-play Goals |
---|
0 | 0 |
Shorthanded Goals |
---|
0 | 0 |
Power-play PCT |
---|
0% (0/6) | 0% (0/5) |
Pen. Killing PCT |
---|
100% (5/5) | 100% (6/6) |
Faceoffs Won |
---|
25 | 29 |
Faceoffs % |
---|
46.3 | 53.7 |
Empty Net Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 04:44, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
- 07:26, 1 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Wernblom L. (A), Savinainen V. (A2)
- 10:53, Intonen A. (2 min),
- 14:45, Olsson A. (2 min),
- 14:45, Pikkarainen K. (2 min),
- 14:45, Pikkarainen K. (2 min),
- 17:16, (2 min),
- 20:00, Teissala L. (2 min),
- 20:00, Gelinas E. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 00:23, Ruohomaa M. (2 min),
- 04:54, Sjoholm V. (2 min),
- 10:48, 2 - 0, Soderlund T. (G), Teissala L. (A),
- 12:15, Viitasalo N. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 17:41, 3 - 0, Soderlund T. (G), Ylitalo N. (A),
Chances of winning
TPS 34.5% | Draw 23.4% | Lukko 42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
TPS - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.75 ↑ (2.55) |
4.02 ↓ (4.7) |
2.22 (2.22) |
6.2% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for TPS - Lukko?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lukko will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lukko (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- TPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, TPS has had a series of away games.
- Lukko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that TPS will win today's game, with odds of 2.94.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 39:54. (average 2:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.7:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Lukko?
TPS has won 10 of their last 24 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against TPS?
Lukko has won 14 of their last 24 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Lukko were as follows:
01.08.2025
Lukko
-
TPS
5:1
14.03.2025
TPS
-
Lukko
1:4
30.11.2024
TPS
-
Lukko
1:2
29.11.2024
Lukko
-
TPS
4:5
13.09.2024
Lukko
-
TPS
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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