TPS vs Lukko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga TPS - Lukko
Result
3:0
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.552.63
Shots on Goal
2125
Shots off target
613
Shooting PCT
14.29% (3/21)0% (0/25)
Blocked Shots
79
Goalkeeper Saves
2518
Saves PCT
100% (25/25)90% (18/20)
Penalties
56
PIM
1012
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/6)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)100% (6/6)
Faceoffs Won
2529
Faceoffs %
46.353.7
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 04:44, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
  • 07:26, 1 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Wernblom L. (A), Savinainen V. (A2)
  • 10:53, Intonen A. (2 min),
  • 14:45, Olsson A. (2 min),
  • 14:45, Pikkarainen K. (2 min),
  • 14:45, Pikkarainen K. (2 min),
  • 17:16, (2 min),
  • 20:00, Teissala L. (2 min),
  • 20:00, Gelinas E. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 00:23, Ruohomaa M. (2 min),
  • 04:54, Sjoholm V. (2 min),
  • 10:48, 2 - 0, Soderlund T. (G), Teissala L. (A),
  • 12:15, Viitasalo N. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 17:41, 3 - 0, Soderlund T. (G), Ylitalo N. (A),

Chances of winning


TPS
34.5%
Draw
23.4%
Lukko
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 20.2% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 20.4% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • TPS - Lukko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.55)
    4.02
    (4.7)
    2.22
    (2.22)
    6.2%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • What is the prediction for TPS - Lukko?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lukko will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lukko (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • TPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, TPS has had a series of away games.
    • Lukko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that TPS will win today's game, with odds of 2.94.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 39:54. (average 2:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.7:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Lukko were as follows:
    01.08.2025 Lukko - TPS 5:1
    14.03.2025 TPS - Lukko 1:4
    30.11.2024 TPS - Lukko 1:2
    29.11.2024 Lukko - TPS 4:5
    13.09.2024 Lukko - TPS 3:2
    Latest results of TPS
    12.09.2025 Vaasan Sport - TPS 2:3
    09.09.2025 HPK - TPS 2:3
    04.09.2025 Ässät - TPS 4:1
    29.08.2025 TPS - Växjö Lakers 3:0
    22.08.2025 Ilves - TPS 3:2
    Latest results of Lukko
    10.09.2025 Lukko - Tappara 1:4
    05.09.2025 Eisbären Berlin - Lukko 2:6
    31.08.2025 Lukko - Bolzano 3:4
    29.08.2025 Lukko - Lausanne HC 4:1
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1TPS Turku7411117:1315
    2Kiekko-Espoo7402121:1614
    3Assat5400122:1012
    4Tappara5400121:912
    5JYP5400123:1412
    6Lukko6300322:199
    7KooKoo6210319:228
    8KalPa6210319:258
    9SaiPa6201319:207
    10Pelicans6112212:167
    11Vaasan Sport6200414:156
    12Karpat5200315:186
    13Jukurit5200312:186
    14Hameenlinna5111210:166
    15Ilves6110417:235
    16IFK Helsinki6110414:235

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