Result
4:2
05/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 1.17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 39 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.26% (4/39) | 20% (2/10) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 35 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 92.11% (35/38) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (0/0) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 57.14 | 42.86 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 06:48, 1 - 0, Beaucage A. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Krannila J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:44, 1 - 1, Parssinen J. (G), Soderlund T. (A),
- 04:25, Beaucage A. (2 min),
- 09:25, 2 - 1, Westerholm Po. (G), Raanta A. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 05:41, 2 - 2, Savinainen V. (G), Lauridsen O. (A),
- 11:15, 3 - 2, Krannila J. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Beaucage A. (A2)
- 18:23, 4 - 2, Stenqvist J. (G),
Chances of winning
Lukko
52.8% | Draw
22.9% | TPS
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lukko - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.81) |
4 ↑
(3.88) |
3.89 ↓
(4.01) |
7.2%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- TPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, TPS has had a series of away games.
- Lukko might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 51:41. (average 2.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 3.2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against TPS?
Lukko has won 14 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Lukko?
TPS has won 11 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - TPS were as follows:
13.09.2025
TPS
-
Lukko
3:0
01.08.2025
Lukko
-
TPS
5:1
14.03.2025
TPS
-
Lukko
1:4
30.11.2024
TPS
-
Lukko
1:2
29.11.2024
Lukko
-
TPS
4:5
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
