TPS vs Pelicans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga TPS - Pelicans
Result
3:1
17/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.482.08
Shots on Goal
2917
Shots off target
1412
Shooting PCT
10.34% (3/29)5.88% (1/17)
Blocked Shots
47
Goalkeeper Saves
1626
Saves PCT
94.12% (16/17)92.86% (26/28)
Penalties
44
PIM
88
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
10
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (4/4)
Faceoffs Won
3024
Faceoffs %
55.5644.44
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:49, 1 - 0, Koivu A. (G), Teissala L. (A), Reunanen T. (A2)
  • 07:29, Soderlund T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 11:04, Forsberg C. (2 min),
  • 14:49, Soderlund T. (2 min),
  • 19:48, 1 - 1, Hirvonen K. (G), Lind O. (A), Vaananen M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 05:20, Falk H. (2 min),
  • 07:10, Jurgens C. (2 min),
  • 17:49, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 03:08, 2 - 1, Ylitalo N. (G), Yliniemi S. (A), Munkki V. (A2)
  • 07:59, Lind O. (2 min),
  • 10:32, Rafkin R. (2 min),
  • 18:36, Wernblom L. (2 min),
  • 18:55, 3 - 1, Lauridsen O. (G),

Chances of winning


TPS
53.6%
Draw
22.5%
Pelicans
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 22.2% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6% 21.8% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • TPS - Pelicans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.86)
    4.14
    (4.25)
    3.93
    (3.49)
    6.3%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
  • What is the prediction for TPS - Pelicans?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 4.
    • TPS is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Pelicans has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Pelicans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, TPS is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 50:53. (average 2.5:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 2.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Pelicans were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Pelicans - TPS 3:4
    18.01.2025 TPS - Pelicans 3:2
    20.12.2024 Pelicans - TPS 3:4
    30.10.2024 TPS - Pelicans 5:3
    17.02.2024 TPS - Pelicans 1:3
    Latest results of TPS
    13.09.2025 TPS - Lukko 3:0
    12.09.2025 Vaasan Sport - TPS 2:3
    09.09.2025 HPK - TPS 2:3
    04.09.2025 Ässät - TPS 4:1
    29.08.2025 TPS - Växjö Lakers 3:0
    Latest results of Pelicans
    13.09.2025 Pelicans - HIFK 5:2
    09.09.2025 Pelicans - Kiekko-Espoo 1:0
    04.09.2025 KooKoo - Pelicans 4:1
    27.08.2025 AIK - Pelicans 1:2
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1TPS Turku7411117:1315
    2Kiekko-Espoo7402121:1614
    3Assat5400122:1012
    4Tappara5400121:912
    5JYP5400123:1412
    6Lukko6300322:199
    7KooKoo6210319:228
    8KalPa6210319:258
    9SaiPa6201319:207
    10Pelicans6112212:167
    11Vaasan Sport6200414:156
    12Karpat5200315:186
    13Jukurit5200312:186
    14Hameenlinna5111210:166
    15Ilves6110417:235
    16IFK Helsinki6110414:235

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