Result
3:1
17/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 2.08 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.34% (3/29) | 5.88% (1/17) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.12% (16/17) | 92.86% (26/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 55.56 | 44.44 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 04:49, 1 - 0, Koivu A. (G), Teissala L. (A), Reunanen T. (A2)
- 07:29, Soderlund T. (Penalty Shot),
- 11:04, Forsberg C. (2 min),
- 14:49, Soderlund T. (2 min),
- 19:48, 1 - 1, Hirvonen K. (G), Lind O. (A), Vaananen M. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 05:20, Falk H. (2 min),
- 07:10, Jurgens C. (2 min),
- 17:49, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 03:08, 2 - 1, Ylitalo N. (G), Yliniemi S. (A), Munkki V. (A2)
- 07:59, Lind O. (2 min),
- 10:32, Rafkin R. (2 min),
- 18:36, Wernblom L. (2 min),
- 18:55, 3 - 1, Lauridsen O. (G),
Chances of winning
TPS
53.6% | Draw
22.5% | Pelicans
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
TPS - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.86) |
4.14 ↓
(4.25) |
3.93 ↑
(3.49) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for TPS - Pelicans?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 4.
- TPS is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pelicans has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Pelicans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, TPS is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 50:53. (average 2.5:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 2.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Pelicans?
TPS has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against TPS?
Pelicans has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Pelicans were as follows:
15.03.2025
Pelicans
-
TPS
3:4
18.01.2025
TPS
-
Pelicans
3:2
20.12.2024
Pelicans
-
TPS
3:4
30.10.2024
TPS
-
Pelicans
5:3
17.02.2024
TPS
-
Pelicans
1:3
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
