Pelicans vs TPS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Pelicans - TPS
Result
3:4 OT
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.41
Shots on Goal
2726
Shots off Goal
717
Shooting PCT
11.11% (3/27)15.38% (4/26)
Blocked Shots
616
Goalkeeper Saves
2224
Saves PCT
84.62% (22/26)88.89% (24/27)
Penalties
48
PIM
816
Power-play Goals
30
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
37.5% (3/8)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)62.5% (5/8)
Faceoffs Won
3626
Faceoffs %
58.0641.94
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 15:37, 0 - 1, Salin O. (G), Sevanen R. (A), Soderlund T. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 09:35, Wernblom L. (2 min),
  • 10:26, 1 - 1, Kalynuk W. (G), Tukiainen L. (A), Bryggman L. (A2)
  • 12:35, Arell N. (2 min),
  • 13:46, 2 - 1, Vilen E. (G), Kalynuk W. (A), Bryggman L. (A2)
  • 19:28, 2 - 2, Pakkila E. (G), Soderlund T. (A),
  • 20:00, Kalynuk W. (2 min),
  • 20:00, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:31, Vilen E. (2 min),
  • 04:27, 2 - 3, Pakkila E. (G), Soderlund T. (A), Beaudin J. (A2)
  • 05:48, Soderlund T. (2 min),
  • 10:53, Dudas A. (2 min),
  • 12:25, 3 - 3, Lawrence J. (G), Lasch R. (A), Kumpulainen R. (A2)
  • 14:25, Dudas A. (2 min),
  • 17:18, Tyrvainen A. (2 min),
  • 18:03, Salin O. (2 min),
  • 19:37, Arell N. (2 min),
  • 19:48, Tyrvainen A. (2 min),
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 00:35, 3 - 4, Jurgens C. (G), Marjala V. (A),

Chances of winning


Pelicans
49.3%
Draw
22.1%
TPS
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 23.5% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 22.9% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pelicans's performance.
  • TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pelicans that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pelicans - TPS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.15)
    4.27
    (3.93)
    3.33
    (2.76)
    5.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Liiga (Relegation) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pelicans won 2.
    • Pelicans is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches TPS is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • TPS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Pelicans will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Pelicans won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 55:49 (average 2.8:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pelicans won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27:18 (average 3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - TPS were as follows:
    18.01.2025 TPS - Pelicans 3:2
    20.12.2024 Pelicans - TPS 3:4
    30.10.2024 TPS - Pelicans 5:3
    17.02.2024 TPS - Pelicans 1:3
    17.01.2024 Pelicans - TPS 7:2
    Latest results of Pelicans
    14.03.2025 Tappara - Pelicans 0:1
    11.03.2025 Ilves - Pelicans 4:2
    08.03.2025 Pelicans - SaiPa 3:4
    05.03.2025 Pelicans - Ässät 1:3
    01.03.2025 KalPa - Pelicans 6:3
    Latest results of TPS
    14.03.2025 TPS - Lukko 1:4
    12.03.2025 KalPa - TPS 1:0
    08.03.2025 TPS - Vaasan Sport 3:2
    07.03.2025 Vaasan Sport - TPS 3:4
    05.03.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - TPS 2:1
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat000000:00
    2Hameenlinna000000:00
    3IFK Helsinki000000:00
    4Ilves000000:00
    5JYP000000:00
    6KalPa000000:00
    7Lukko000000:00
    8Pelicans000000:00
    9SaiPa000000:00
    10Tappara000000:00
    11TPS Turku000000:00
    12Karpat000000:00
    13KooKoo000000:00
    14Vaasan Sport000000:00
    15Jukurit000000:00
    16Kiekko-Espoo000000:00

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