Kocaelispor vs Trabzonspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 18
  • Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, beIN Sports XTRA, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.480.54
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
53
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
43
Passes
80% (279/349)87% (407/468)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.480.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.97
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
104
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1416
Passes
80% (279/349)87% (407/468)
Long passes
49% (19/39)51% (24/47)
Passes in final third
69% (74/108)75% (68/91)
Crosses
11% (2/19)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.48
Throw ins
2615
Fouls
1614
Tackles
61% (11/18)62% (18/29)
Duels won
4763
Clearances
1526
Interceptions
188
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.970.50
Goals prevented
-1.03-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Petkovic B. , Bingol T. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 1, Felipe Augusto , Olaigbe K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Jovanovic A. , Degirmenci G. ,
  • 46', Churlinov D. , Show ,
  • 58', Smolcic H. , Balogh B. ,
  • 75', Eskihellac M. 🟨,
  • 77', Muci E. 🟨,
  • 79', Agyei D. , Keles C. ,
  • 81', Olaigbe K. , Bouchouari B. ,
  • 86', Eskihellac M. , Canak C. ,
  • 87', Inao Oulai C. , Nwakaeme A. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Muci E. , Zubkov O. (A),
  • 90+4', Linetty K. , Dursun S. ,
  • 90+4', Muci E. , Yokuslu O. ,
  • 90+6', Bingol T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kocaelispor
37.8%
Draw
29.5%
Trabzonspor
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 29% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 29.3% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Kocaelispor - Trabzonspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.66)
    3.15
    (3.26)
    2.86
    (2.66)
    6.7%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Trabzonspor?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Trabzonspor will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 16.3%56.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • Kocaelispor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Trabzonspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kocaelispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Kocaelispor: Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Trabzonspor: Baniya R. (Shin Injury) Baskan B. (Suspended) Eskihellac M. (Inactive) Onuachu P. (International duty) Savic S. (Injury) Visca E. (Foot Injury) Yokuslu O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Trabzonspor were as follows:
    11.08.2025 Trabzonspor - Kocaelispor 1:0
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Latest results of Trabzonspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray24184258:184058
    2Fenerbahce24159054:233154
    3Trabzonspor24156348:282051
    4Besiktas24137445:291646
    5Goztepe24119427:161142
    6Basaksehir24116742:261639
    7Samsunspor24711625:27-232
    8Kocaelispor24861021:25-430
    9Gaziantep2478930:40-1029
    10Rizespor2469931:35-427
    11Alanyaspor24511826:30-426
    12Genclerbirligi24661228:34-624
    13Antalyaspor24661224:38-1424
    14Konyaspor24581127:37-1023
    15Eyupspor24571219:35-1622
    16Kasimpasa24481220:35-1520
    17Kayserispor243111018:43-2520
    18Karagumruk24341721:45-2413

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig