Result
1:2
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 18
- Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 5 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, beIN Sports XTRA, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (279/349) | 87% (407/468) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (279/349) | 87% (407/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (19/39) | 51% (24/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (74/108) | 75% (68/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 62% (18/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Petkovic B. ⚽, Bingol T. (A),
- 44', 1 - 1, Felipe Augusto ⚽, Olaigbe K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Jovanovic A. ↓, Degirmenci G. ↑,
- 46', Churlinov D. ↓, Show ↑,
- 58', Smolcic H. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
- 75', Eskihellac M. 🟨,
- 77', Muci E. 🟨,
- 79', Agyei D. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
- 81', Olaigbe K. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
- 86', Eskihellac M. ↓, Canak C. ↑,
- 87', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Nwakaeme A. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Muci E. ⚽, Zubkov O. (A),
- 90+4', Linetty K. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
- 90+4', Muci E. ↓, Yokuslu O. ↑,
- 90+6', Bingol T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kocaelispor
37.8% | Draw
29.5% | Trabzonspor
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Kocaelispor - Trabzonspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.66) |
3.15 ↓
(3.26) |
2.86 ↑
(2.66) |
6.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Trabzonspor?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Trabzonspor will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 16.3% – 56.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- Kocaelispor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Trabzonspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kocaelispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Wieteska M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Trabzonspor: Baniya R.
(Shin Injury)
Baskan B.
(Suspended)
Eskihellac M.
(Inactive)
Onuachu P.
(International duty)
Savic S.
(Injury)
Visca E.
(Foot Injury)
Yokuslu O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Trabzonspor?
Kocaelispor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trabzonspor won against Kocaelispor?
Trabzonspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Trabzonspor were as follows:
11.08.2025
Trabzonspor
-
Kocaelispor
1:0
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Latest results of Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
