Tractor Sazi vs Al-Shorta Baghdad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
pakistanPakistanTapmad
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.551.19
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
519
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
09
Passes
80% (353/444)82% (416/510)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.551.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.881.89
Total shots
519
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
110
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
09
Touches in opposition box
922
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
118
Passes
80% (353/444)82% (416/510)
Long passes
47% (29/62)32% (18/57)
Passes in final third
68% (75/110)60% (66/110)
Crosses
0% (0/3)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.181.18
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
811
Tackles
62% (8/13)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4539
Clearances
3318
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.890.88
Goals prevented
1.89-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Torabi M. , Strkalj T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Khalilzadeh S. 🟨,
  • 57', Al Mawas M. 🟨,
  • 69', Hashemnejad M. , Lushkja R. ,
  • 69', Strkalj T. , Drozdek D. ,
  • 70', Sadoun M. , Khudhair A. S. ,
  • 70', Al Mawas M. , Mohammed Dawood ,
  • 79', Farhan A. , Moumouni B. ,
  • 80', Torabi M. , Kazemayni M. ,
  • 80', Moharrami S. , Khamrobekov O. ,
  • 81', Lushkja R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tractor Sazi
61.9%
Draw
22.8%
Al-Shorta Baghdad
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 21.8% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 21% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tractor Sazi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Tractor Sazi - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.5)
    4.11
    (4.24)
    6.15
    (5.54)
    6.6%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tractor Sazi - Al-Shorta Baghdad?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tractor Sazi will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tractor Sazi: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tractor Sazi (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Tractor Sazi (1.74) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Tractor Sazi (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • Tractor Sazi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In recent matches, Al-Shorta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Tractor Sazi is the team to beat.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Tractor Sazi
    Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Al-Sadd (8)
    2Al Ahli SC (2)Al-Duhail (7)
    3Tractor (3)Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6)
    4Al Ittihad (4)Al Wahda (5)
    5Machida (1)Gangwon (8)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    6Vissel Kobe (2)Seoul (7)2 : 1, 1 : 0
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3)Johor DT (6)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    8Buriram (4)Melbourne City (5)1 : 0, 1 : 1