Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 32
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (148/270) | 73% (346/476) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 47 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (148/270) | 73% (346/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (25/81) | 30% (23/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (53/114) | 56% (93/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 14% (7/51) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 84 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Obiero Z. ⚽,
- 38', Whitaker C. 🟨,
- 44', Bajrami G. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 0, Ironside J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Copley L. ↓, Ferizaj J. ↑,
- 56', Plant J. 🟨,
- 67', Lolos K. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
- 67', Odimayo A. ↓, Barker C. ↑,
- 71', Whitaker C. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
- 71', Ironside J. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
- 74', Forster H. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 76', Finley S. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
- 81', Patrick O. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
- 81', Obiero Z. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
- 83', Warrington L. 🟨,
- 90+6', Marosi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tranmere Rovers
42.4% | Draw
27.4% | Crawley Town
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tranmere Rovers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.4) |
3.41 ↑
(3.37) |
3.09 ↑
(2.69) |
7.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Crawley will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 17 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2.
- Tranmere is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Crawley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tranmere may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Inactive)
Jones D.
(Inactive)
Joseph J.
(Inactive)
Tamen W.
(Inactive)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
Malone S.
(Injury)
Russell J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Crawley will win today's game, with odds of 2.85.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Crawley Town?
Tranmere Rovers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Tranmere Rovers?
Crawley Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town were as follows:
23.08.2025
Crawley Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
0:2
23.03.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Crawley Town
1:3
16.09.2023
Crawley Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
3:2
15.04.2023
Crawley Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
2:1
28.02.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Crawley Town
1:0
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
