Tre Penne vs San Giovanni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
26/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 30

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Badalassi I. , Turchetta G. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 0, Pieri R. , Nigretti G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', 3 - 0, Fabbri F. ,
  • 72', 4 - 0, Berardi F. , Turchetta G. (A),
  • 79', Bastianelli T. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Tre Penne
79.2%
Draw
13.4%
San Giovanni
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 19.1% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5% 18.8% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tre Penne's performance.
  • San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Giovanni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tre Penne that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Giovanni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tre Penne - San Giovanni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.16
    (1.37)
    6.84
    (4.75)
    12.42
    (6.21)
    9.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Tre Penne is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • San Giovanni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tre Penne is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:11. (average 3.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 3.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tre Penne - San Giovanni were as follows:
    10.02.2026 San Giovanni - Tre Penne 0:2
    29.03.2025 Tre Penne - San Giovanni 3:2
    30.11.2024 San Giovanni - Tre Penne 1:1
    10.02.2024 San Giovanni - Tre Penne 1:3
    07.10.2023 Tre Penne - San Giovanni 5:0
    Latest results of Tre Penne
    19.04.2026 AC Libertas - Tre Penne 5:0
    11.04.2026 Tre Penne - Cailungo 6:1
    08.04.2026 Tre Penne - Virtus 1:1
    22.03.2026 Tre Penne - Folgore 1:1
    15.03.2026 Murata - Tre Penne 0:4
    Latest results of San Giovanni
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Virtus (2)Bye
    2Juvenes/Dogana (9)Libertas (10)1 : 1
    3Folgore (5)Bye
    4ByeDomagnano (6)
    5Tre Penne (3)Bye
    6Cosmos (8)Pennarossa (11)3 : 0
    7La Fiorita (4)Bye
    8ByeFiorentino (7)

    Quarter-finals
    1Virtus (2)Juvenes/Dogana (9)
    2Folgore (5)Domagnano (6)1 : 0
    3Tre Penne (3)Cosmos (8)
    4La Fiorita (4)Fiorentino (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place