Independência vs Trem – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Independência - Trem
Result
2:2
29/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
26
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
26
Goalkeeper Saves
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 57', 1 - 1, ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Independência
43%
Draw
26.7%
Trem
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 26.6% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 25.8% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independência has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Trem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trem than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Independência - Trem Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.13)
    3.4
    (3.4)
    3
    (2.92)
    9.9%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Independência may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independência could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Independência won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independência - Trem were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Trem - Independência 1:2
    Latest results of Independência
    Latest results of Trem
    14.06.2025 Trem - Águia de Marabá 2:1
    07.06.2025 Manauara - Trem 2:0
    01.06.2025 Trem - Manauara 0:3
    24.05.2025 Águia de Marabá - Trem 0:2
    21.05.2025 Trem - Independência 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1