Caerau Ely vs Treowen Stars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 16

Chances of winning


Caerau Ely
55.9%
Draw
22.1%
Treowen Stars
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 19.5% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 19.1% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caerau Ely's form might have worsened.
  • Treowen Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Treowen Stars's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caerau Ely, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Treowen Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Caerau Ely - Treowen Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.42)
    4.19
    (4.76)
    4.19
    (6.07)
    8.3%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Caerau Ely - Treowen Stars?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Treowen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Treowen has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Caerau is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Caerau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caerau Ely - Treowen Stars were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Treowen Stars - Caerau Ely 0:5
    Latest results of Caerau Ely
    Latest results of Treowen Stars
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trefelin22183150:104057
    2Cambrian United22182256:164056
    3Ammanford23118432:211141
    4Caerau Ely23124748:321640
    5Aberystwyth23123829:26339
    6Carmarthen Town24811529:27235
    7Newport City23810532:29334
    8Cardiff Draconians21102932:27532
    9Llantwit Major2269727:28-127
    10Treowen2075833:37-426
    11Pontypridd22741133:34-125
    12Baglan Dragons22481022:31-920
    13Trethomas Bluebirds23481129:45-1620
    14Afan Lido23531520:43-2318
    15Ynyshir Albions23351517:47-3014
    16Cwmbran Celtic20051514:50-365

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