Trestina vs Follonica Gavorrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Ferri Marini D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 1 - 1, Fossati D. ,

Chances of winning


Trestina
42.1%
Draw
30.4%
Follonica Gavorrano
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 27.8% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 27.2% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trestina's form might have worsened.
  • Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.92)
    2.98
    (3.3)
    3.29
    (3.75)
    10.3%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 1.
    • Trestina is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Follonica Gavorrano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Trestina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Trestina won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano were as follows:
    30.11.2025 Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina 1:1
    11.05.2025 Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina 1:2
    23.02.2025 Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano 0:0
    06.11.2024 Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina 1:0
    23.10.2024 Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina 3:0
    Latest results of Trestina
    28.03.2026 Trestina - Scandicci 1:1
    22.03.2026 Poggibonsi - Trestina 1:2
    15.03.2026 Trestina - Orvietana 1:1
    01.03.2026 Tau Altopascio - Trestina 0:1
    Latest results of Follonica Gavorrano
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto ✔ 31216455:223369
    2Tau31168748:301856
    3Siena31167848:291955
    4Seravezza Pozzi311510641:271455
    5Prato31175945:291654
    6Scandicci311114637:271047
    7Foligno311381044:36847
    8Terranuova Traiana311381024:26-247
    9Montevarchi31915727:31-442
    10Trestina3110101135:35040
    11Ghiviborgo319101241:40137
    12Camaiore31971538:47-934
    13Follonica Gavorrano318101332:45-1334
    14San Donato317121226:34-833
    15Orvietana317101429:35-631
    16Poggibonsi31691626:43-1727
    17Cannara31571920:55-3522
    18Vivi Altotevere312141517:42-2520

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Grosseto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for