Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 31
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Ferri Marini D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 1, Fossati D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Trestina 42.1% | Draw 30.4% | Follonica Gavorrano 27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trestina's form might have worsened.Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↑ (1.92) |
2.98 ↓ (3.3) |
3.29 ↓ (3.75) |
10.3% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 1.
- Trestina is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Follonica Gavorrano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Trestina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trestina won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Trestina won against Follonica Gavorrano?
Trestina has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Follonica Gavorrano won against Trestina?
Follonica Gavorrano has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano were as follows:
30.11.2025
Follonica Gavorrano
-
Trestina
1:1
11.05.2025
Follonica Gavorrano
-
Trestina
1:2
23.02.2025
Trestina
-
Follonica Gavorrano
0:0
06.11.2024
Follonica Gavorrano
-
Trestina
1:0
23.10.2024
Follonica Gavorrano
-
Trestina
3:0
Latest results of Trestina
Latest results of Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto ✔ | 31 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 55:22 | 33 | 69 |
| 2 | Tau | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 48:30 | 18 | 56 |
| 3 | Siena | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:29 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Seravezza Pozzi | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 41:27 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Prato | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 6 | Scandicci | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Foligno | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 44:36 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Terranuova Traiana | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 24:26 | -2 | 47 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 42 |
| 10 | Trestina | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | Ghiviborgo | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 37 |
| 12 | Camaiore | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 34 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | San Donato | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 26:34 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Orvietana | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26:43 | -17 | 27 |
| 17 | Cannara | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20:55 | -35 | 22 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere | 31 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 17:42 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Grosseto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for