Follonica Gavorrano vs Trestina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group E Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina
Result
1:2 ET
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Play Out - Final

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 67', 1 - 0, Matteucci E. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Buzzi F. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 117', 1 - 2, Mencagli F. ,

Chances of winning


Follonica Gavorrano
45%
Draw
28.2%
Trestina
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 29.7% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 30.4% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Follonica Gavorrano's performance.
  • Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trestina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Follonica Gavorrano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.38)
    3.24
    (3.06)
    3.41
    (2.84)
    9.4%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 2.
    • Follonica Gavorrano is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Trestina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.4:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Follonica Gavorrano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 2.2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano 0:0
    06.11.2024 Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina 1:0
    23.10.2024 Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina 3:0
    03.12.2023 Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano 1:0
    28.01.2023 Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina 0:0
    Latest results of Follonica Gavorrano
    Latest results of Trestina
    04.05.2025 Trestina - Orvietana 0:0
    27.04.2025 Seravezza Pozzi - Trestina 2:1
    17.04.2025 Trestina - Ghiviborgo 1:0
    13.04.2025 Montevarchi - Trestina 0:0
    06.04.2025 Trestina - Siena 2:1
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1