Result
3:2
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ghiviborgo
39% | Draw
26.6% | Trestina
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ghiviborgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Trestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghiviborgo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Ghiviborgo - Trestina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.28) |
3.41 ↑
(3.4) |
2.63 ↑
(2.62) |
10.5%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
- Ghiviborgo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Trestina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Trestina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ghiviborgo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ghiviborgo won against Trestina?
Ghiviborgo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trestina won against Ghiviborgo?
Trestina has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ghiviborgo - Trestina were as follows:
14.09.2025
Trestina
-
Ghiviborgo
3:0
17.04.2025
Trestina
-
Ghiviborgo
1:0
Latest results of Ghiviborgo
Latest results of Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 53:20 | 33 | 68 |
| 2 | Seravezza Pozzi | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Tau | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47:30 | 17 | 53 |
| 4 | Siena | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 5 | Prato | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Foligno | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Terranuova Traiana | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 46 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 36:27 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 26:30 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Trestina | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 34:34 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Ghiviborgo | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 41:39 | 2 | 37 |
| 12 | Camaiore | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 37:46 | -9 | 33 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31:44 | -13 | 33 |
| 14 | Orvietana | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 15 | San Donato | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 26 |
| 17 | Cannara | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 20:54 | -34 | 22 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere | 30 | 2 | 13 | 15 | 15:40 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation
