Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
20/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Flay B. ,

Chances of winning


Afan Lido
27.9%
Draw
25.3%
Trethomas Bluebirds
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 26.4% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 25.1% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trethomas Bluebirds's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afan Lido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trethomas Bluebirds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Afan Lido - Trethomas Bluebirds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.82)
    3.59
    (3.52)
    1.94
    (2.28)
    10.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Afan Lido - Trethomas Bluebirds?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Trethomas Bluebirds (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 13).
    • Afan Lido has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Trethomas Bluebirds has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Trethomas Bluebirds will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Afan Lido won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afan Lido - Trethomas Bluebirds were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido 3:2
    04.04.2025 Afan Lido - Trethomas Bluebirds 1:0
    11.10.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido 3:2
    Latest results of Afan Lido
    13.02.2026 Afan Lido - Newport City 0:1
    30.12.2025 Afan Lido - Trefelin 0:2
    26.12.2025 Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido 3:1
    Latest results of Trethomas Bluebirds
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United ✔ 26213268:185066
    2Trefelin ✔ 26213261:154666
    3Caerau Ely27155760:332750
    4Ammanford26148438:241450
    5Carmarthen Town271012537:33442
    6Aberystwyth261331032:32042
    7Llantwit Major2799940:38236
    8Newport City27810935:39-434
    9Treowen27971146:51-534
    10Cardiff Draconians251021336:39-332
    11Pontypridd26851342:46-429
    12Trethomas Bluebirds27681338:55-1726
    13Afan Lido27731726:52-2624
    14Baglan Dragons26581325:42-1723
    15Ynyshir Albions26561524:48-2421
    16Cwmbran Celtic24061818:61-436

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
    Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier