Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Davies T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', 1 - 1, Newman Jones A. ,

Chances of winning


Baglan Dragons
26.6%
Draw
24.3%
Trethomas Bluebirds
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 24.8% 48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6% 24.7% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Baglan Dragons aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Baglan Dragons - Trethomas Bluebirds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (3.39)
    3.75
    (3.64)
    1.86
    (1.86)
    9.6%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).
    • Baglan Dragons has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Trethomas Bluebirds has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Trethomas Bluebirds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Trethomas Bluebirds could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Baglan Dragons won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Baglan Dragons won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baglan Dragons - Trethomas Bluebirds were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons 2:1
    01.03.2025 Baglan Dragons - Trethomas Bluebirds 2:0
    22.11.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons 0:1
    02.08.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons 3:1
    Latest results of Baglan Dragons
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trefelin30253283:176678
    2Cambrian United30244275:205576
    3Ammanford30179449:262360
    4Caerau Ely30176766:343257
    5Carmarthen Town301112745:38745
    6Aberystwyth301351235:38-344
    7Cardiff Draconians301241450:48240
    8Llantwit Major309101144:47-337
    9Treowen301071351:63-1237
    10Newport City309101136:48-1237
    11Pontypridd30971446:51-534
    12Afan Lido30931832:57-2530
    13Trethomas Bluebirds306111345:62-1729
    14Baglan Dragons305101526:52-2625
    15Ynyshir Albions30581727:56-2923
    16Cwmbran Celtic30172225:78-5310

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