Result
09/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Trethomas Bluebirds
30.2% | Draw
28.5% | Newport City
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newport City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newport City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Trethomas Bluebirds - Newport City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↓
(3.49) |
3.19 ↓
(3.8) |
2.2 ↑
(1.9) |
10%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Newport City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Newport City has had a series of home games.
- Newport City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trethomas Bluebirds won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Trethomas Bluebirds won against Newport City?
Trethomas Bluebirds has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport City won against Trethomas Bluebirds?
Newport City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trethomas Bluebirds - Newport City were as follows:
10.10.2025
Newport City
-
Trethomas Bluebirds
1:1
03.01.2025
Newport City
-
Trethomas Bluebirds
1:2
01.11.2024
Trethomas Bluebirds
-
Newport City
2:1
Latest results of Trethomas Bluebirds
Latest results of Newport City
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 50:10 | 40 | 57 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 56:16 | 40 | 56 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 32:21 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 40 |
| 5 | Aberystwyth | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Newport City | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 8 | Cardiff Draconians | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 32 |
| 9 | Llantwit Major | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Treowen | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
| 12 | Baglan Dragons | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 20 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Afan Lido | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 20:43 | -23 | 18 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17:47 | -30 | 14 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 20 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14:50 | -36 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
