Santa Cruz Recife vs Treze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Santa Cruz Recife - Treze
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 14

Chances of winning


Santa Cruz Recife
63.6%
Draw
23.8%
Treze
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 26.1% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 23.4% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.
  • Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santa Cruz Recife - Treze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.75)
    3.81
    (3.45)
    7.13
    (4)
    10.6%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Santa Cruz Recife - Treze?
  • Users Predictions: Santa Cruz Recife will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santa Cruz Recife will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).
    • Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 3.
    • Santa Cruz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Treze is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Santa Cruz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Santa Cruz is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz Recife - Treze were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Treze - Santa Cruz Recife 0:1
    04.01.2025 Santa Cruz Recife - Treze 1:2
    30.12.2023 Treze - Santa Cruz Recife 1:1
    Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
    Latest results of Treze
    20.07.2025 Treze - América RN 1:2
    12.07.2025 Sousa - Treze 0:1
    07.07.2025 Treze - Horizonte 0:2
    08.06.2025 Central SC - Treze 1:0
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2025

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manauara ✔ 1375126:91726
    2Tuna Luso ✔ 1373322:101224
    3Manaus1355320:17320
    4Aguia De Maraba1354421:13819
    5Trem1353523:23018
    6Independencia1353516:18-218
    7GAS1342716:23-714
    8Humaita13111112:43-314


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AE Altos ✔ 1475222:14826
    2Imperatriz ✔ 1473417:15224
    3Sampaio Correa ✔ 1456317:11621
    4Maranhao1447318:12619
    5Iguatu1453615:15018
    6Tocantinopolis1436511:17-615
    7Parnahyba1435616:22-614
    8Maracana1433812:22-1012


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central SC ✔ 1374215:7825
    2America RN ✔ 1373319:91024
    3Santa Cruz ✔ 1373317:10724
    4Horizonte1352614:15-117
    5Ferroviario1352615:19-417
    6Santa Cruz de Natal1342711:19-814
    7Treze PB134187:17-1013
    8Sousa1333710:12-212


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ASA ✔ 1384124:81628
    2Lagarto ✔ 1372420:15523
    3Juazeirense ✔ 1364312:12022
    4Sergipe1354415:10519
    5Jequie1344515:15016
    6Uniao Carmolandense1344513:16-316
    7Barcelona132569:19-1011
    8SC Penedense130584:17-135


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aparecidense ✔ 14102232:122032
    2Ceilandia ✔ 1484223:14928
    3Luverdense ✔ 1474314:12225
    4Mixto ✔ 1466222:13924
    5Capital1445514:12217
    6Goiania1424812:22-1010
    7Goianesia1415811:22-118
    8Porto Velho141499:30-217


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa ✔ 1493222:13930
    2Rio Branco ES ✔ 1482419:91026
    3Agua Santa1463520:18221
    4Marica1454514:14019
    5Pouso Alegre1452713:18-517
    6Porto Vitoria1445514:13117
    7Nova Iguacu1436513:16-315
    8Boavista142399:23-149


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Limeira ✔ 1493221:71430
    2Cianorte ✔ 1464422:17522
    3Goiatuba ✔ 1464421:16522
    4Cascavel1456315:15021
    5Uberlandia1444621:20116
    6Monte Azul1435613:18-514
    7Operario MS1435613:22-914
    8Itabirito1417611:22-1110


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barra FC ✔ 1382320:91126
    2EC Sao Jose ✔ 1374220:101025
    3Joinville ✔ 1363410:9121
    4Marcilio Dias ✔ 1355316:14220
    5Guarany de Bage134459:13-416
    6Brasil de Pelotas1341810:12-213
    7Sao Luiz1340910:20-1012
    8Azuriz133376:14-812

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Manauara is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Tuna Luso is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    AE Altos is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Imperatriz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Sampaio Correa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    America RN is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Lagarto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Juazeirense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Luverdense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Mixto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Portuguesa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Rio Branco ES is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Cianorte is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Goiatuba is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    EC Sao Jose is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Joinville is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Marcilio Dias is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)