Result
1:0
11/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Sipos L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tanco G. J. 🟨,
- 53', Faggioli A. ↓, Gunduz T. ↑,
- 65', Rizzo M. ↓, Mihali L. ↑,
- 65', Zanellato N. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
- 65', Furrer G. ↓, Basili D. ↑,
- 76', Mallamo A. ↓, Nova E. ↑,
- 80', Crnigoj D. ↓, Attys C. ↑,
- 86', Sipos L. ↓, Galeandro A. ↑,
- 87', Jonsson K. ↓, Ellertsson M. P. ↑,
- 90', Tonetto M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lecco 54.1% | Draw 27.8% | Triestina 18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Lecco - Triestina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↑ (1.66) |
3.31 ↓ (3.4) |
5.09 ↓ (5.23) |
8.7% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lecco - Triestina?
Users Predictions:
Lecco will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lecco will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Triestina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lecco is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lecco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lecco won against Triestina?
Lecco has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Triestina won against Lecco?
Triestina has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lecco - Triestina were as follows:
30.08.2025
Triestina
-
Lecco
1:1
26.01.2025
Triestina
-
Lecco
1:1
21.09.2024
Lecco
-
Triestina
2:1
26.03.2023
Lecco
-
Triestina
0:0
27.11.2022
Triestina
-
Lecco
1:2
Latest results of Triestina
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza ✔ | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 59:21 | 38 | 81 |
| 2 | Brescia | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 59 |
| 3 | Lecco | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 40:27 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Trento | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 50:36 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Cittadella | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | Renate | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 53 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 31:22 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Lumezzane | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Giana Erminio | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | Novara | 33 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 43:43 | 0 | 43 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 42 |
| 13 | Pro Vercelli | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 | Arzignano | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 40 |
| 15 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 38 |
| 16 | Ospitaletto | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 30:44 | -14 | 33 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 30:50 | -20 | 22 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 33 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25:60 | -35 | 19 |
| 20 | Triestina ✔ | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Triestina is Relegated to