Result
1:0
11/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Sipos L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tanco G. J. 🟨,
- 53', Faggioli A. ↓, Gunduz T. ↑,
- 65', Rizzo M. ↓, Mihali L. ↑,
- 65', Zanellato N. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
- 65', Furrer G. ↓, Basili D. ↑,
- 76', Mallamo A. ↓, Nova E. ↑,
- 80', Crnigoj D. ↓, Attys C. ↑,
- 86', Sipos L. ↓, Galeandro A. ↑,
- 87', Jonsson K. ↓, Ellertsson M. P. ↑,
- 90', Tonetto M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lecco 54.1% | Draw 27.8% | Triestina 18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Lecco - Triestina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↑ (1.66) |
3.31 ↓ (3.4) |
5.09 ↓ (5.23) |
8.7% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lecco - Triestina?
Users Predictions:
Lecco will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lecco will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Triestina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lecco is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lecco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lecco won against Triestina?
Lecco has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Triestina won against Lecco?
Triestina has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lecco - Triestina were as follows:
30.08.2025
Triestina
-
Lecco
1:1
26.01.2025
Triestina
-
Lecco
1:1
21.09.2024
Lecco
-
Triestina
2:1
26.03.2023
Lecco
-
Triestina
0:0
27.11.2022
Triestina
-
Lecco
1:2
Latest results of Triestina
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 49:15 | 34 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 43:20 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Lecco | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Trento | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Renate | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37:26 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 12 | Novara | 29 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 13 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 14 | AlbinoLeffe | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 24:46 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation