Result
2:1
23/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Arena |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Rolando M. 🟨,
- 40', Faggioli A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', Drago G. 🟨,
- 57', Mancini S. ↓, Pagliari M. ↑,
- 58', Iori M. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 1, Ferro M. ⚽,
- 74', 1 - 1, Jonsson K. ⚽,
- 79', Ghillani A. ↓, Rihai A. ↑,
- 79', Rolando M. ↓, D'Agostino S. ↑,
- 81', Paghera F. 🟨,
- 84', Caccavo L. ↓, Donnarumma A. ↑,
- 86', Faggioli A. ↓, Attys C. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Kljajic N. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Triestina
31.2% | Draw
30.7% | Lumezzane
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Triestina's form might have worsened.Lumezzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lumezzane's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Triestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lumezzane, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Triestina - Lumezzane Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.32) |
2.99 ↓
(3.25) |
2.41 ↓
(2.82) |
9.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Triestina - Lumezzane?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Triestina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lumezzane (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Lumezzane (1.54) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Triestina (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Triestina (votes: 2 - 25%). Lumezzane (votes: 6 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Triestina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lumezzane is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Triestina won against Lumezzane?
Triestina has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lumezzane won against Triestina?
Lumezzane has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Triestina - Lumezzane were as follows:
13.09.2025
Lumezzane
-
Triestina
1:2
02.02.2025
Lumezzane
-
Triestina
1:3
26.09.2024
Triestina
-
Lumezzane
2:3
18.02.2024
Lumezzane
-
Triestina
3:0
14.10.2023
Triestina
-
Lumezzane
2:1
Latest results of Triestina
Latest results of Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 51:18 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Trento | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Renate | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Lecco | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Novara | 30 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 32 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
