Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
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| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Messaggi C. ⚽,
- 38', Pedicillo L. 🟨,
- 45+1', D'Urso C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', D'Urso C. ↓, Gunduz T. ↑,
- 71', Messaggi C. ↓, Guarneri M. ↑,
- 71', Pedicillo L. ↓, D'Amore F. ↑,
- 76', Ievoli M. 🟨,
- 77', Ievoli M. ↓, Maffioletti L. ↑,
- 81', Kljajic N. ↓, Ellertsson M. P. ↑,
- 81', Tonetto M. ↓, Attys C. ↑,
- 83', Attys C. 🟨,
- 87', Regazzetti S. ↓, Casali M. ↑,
- 87', Bertoli M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
- 90+1', Guarneri M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ospitaletto 42.8% | Draw 29% | Triestina 28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+4%)
Ospitaletto - Triestina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↓ (2.34) |
3.15 ↓ (3.28) |
3.25 ↑ (2.82) |
9.3% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- Ospitaletto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Triestina has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ospitaletto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ospitaletto won against Triestina?
Ospitaletto has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Triestina won against Ospitaletto?
Triestina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospitaletto - Triestina were as follows:
07.09.2025
Triestina
-
Ospitaletto
1:1
Latest results of Ospitaletto
Latest results of Triestina
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 49:15 | 34 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 43:20 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Lecco | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Trento | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Renate | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37:26 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 12 | Novara | 29 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 13 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 14 | AlbinoLeffe | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 24:46 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation