Tristan McCormick vs Leonardo Aboian – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Bogota Challenger Men Tristan McCormick - Leonardo Aboian
Result
1:2
13/05/2025 at 15:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1011
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
62%54%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (47/61)72% (39/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (12/38)52% (24/46)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)80% (8/10)
1st Return Points Won
30% (16/54)26% (16/61)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (22/46)68% (26/38)
Break Points Converted
20% (2/10)33% (4/12)
Service Points Won
60% (56/94)63% (62/99)
Return Points Won
37% (37/99)40% (38/94)
Total Points Won
48% (93/193)52% (100/193)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
43% (12/28)57% (16/28)

Chances of winning


Tristan McCormick
51%
Leonardo Aboian
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan McCormick's form might have worsened.
  • Leonardo Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonardo Aboian's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+16%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan McCormick, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonardo Aboian than the current prediction. (-16%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonardo Aboian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tristan McCormick - Leonardo Aboian Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.45)

    1.91
    (2.62)
    7.3%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Tristan McCormick - Leonardo Aboian?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. McCormick will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Aboian will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. McCormick (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • McCormick is ranked ATP: 669. Aboian is ranked ATP: 639.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • McCormick may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • McCormick could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Leonardo Aboian
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mejia N. (1)Bertran P.2 : 0
    2Rodrigues P. (Q)Roncadelli F.2 : 0
    3Kuzuhara B.Rodriguez L. J.0 : 2
    4Monzon I. (Q)Alvarez Varona N. (5)0 : 2
    5McCormick T. (LL)Aboian L.1 : 2
    6Gomez J. S. (Q)Barreiros Reyes M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Cid Subervi R.Pannu K.2 : 0
    8Price S. (WC)Sakamoto P. (7)0 : 2
    9Alves M. (6)Casanova H.1 : 2
    10Nunez D. A. (Q)Tobon M. (WC)1 : 2
    11Soriano Barrera A.Heredia S. (WC)2 : 1
    12Kolar Z.Sell K. (3)2 : 1
    13Olivo R. (8)Kypson P.0 : 2
    14Huertas Del Pino Cordova A. (PR)Rodriguez J. A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Boscardin Dias P.Ambrogi L. E.2 : 0
    16Ejupovic E.Soto M. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Mejia N. (1)Rodrigues P.1 : 2
    2Rodriguez L. J.Alvarez Varona N. (5)0 : 2
    3Aboian L.Barreiros Reyes M.0 : 2
    4Cid Subervi R.Sakamoto P. (7)1 : 2
    5Casanova H.Tobon M.2 : 0
    6Soriano Barrera A.Kolar Z.0 : 2
    7Kypson P.Rodriguez J. A.2 : 0
    8Boscardin Dias P.Ejupovic E.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rodrigues P.Alvarez Varona N. (5)2 : 0
    2Barreiros Reyes M.Sakamoto P. (7)1 : 2
    3Casanova H.Kolar Z.2 : 1
    4Kypson P.Ejupovic E.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rodrigues P.Sakamoto P. (7)1 : 2
    2Casanova H.Kypson P.1 : 2

    Final
    1Sakamoto P. (7)Kypson P.0 : 2