Tristan Schoolkate vs Beibit Zhukayev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/09/2025 at 04:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats


Aces
11	13
Double Faults
0	4
1st Serve Percentage
66%	56%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (34/47)	79% (34/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (14/24)	38% (13/34)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)	78% (7/9)
1st Return Points Won
21% (9/43)	28% (13/47)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (21/34)	42% (10/24)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)	25% (1/4)
Winners
28	32
Unforced Errors
11	16
Net Points Won
86% (18/21)	59% (20/34)
Service Points Won
68% (48/71)	61% (47/77)
Return Points Won
39% (30/77)	32% (23/71)
Total Points Won
53% (78/148)	47% (70/148)
Last 10 Balls
6	4
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)	80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)	9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)	43% (9/21)

Chances of winning

Tristan Schoolkate
61.4%

Beibit Zhukayev
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Beibit Zhukayev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Tristan Schoolkate - Beibit Zhukayev Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)		2.43 ↑ (2.32)	6.6% (7.6%)

What is the prediction for Tristan Schoolkate - Beibit Zhukayev?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Zhukayev will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schoolkate: 64.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 100. Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 210.
In recent matches, Schoolkate has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Zhukayev is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Schoolkate will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Schoolkate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Tristan Schoolkate won against Beibit Zhukayev?

Tristan Schoolkate has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Beibit Zhukayev won against Tristan Schoolkate?

Beibit Zhukayev has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tristan Schoolkate - Beibit Zhukayev were as follows:

14.08.2025 Beibit Zhukayev - Tristan Schoolkate 2:0

17.04.2024 Tristan Schoolkate - Beibit Zhukayev 2:1

Latest results of Tristan Schoolkate

29.09.2025 Tristan Schoolkate - James McCabe 2:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Tristan Schoolkate - Jesper De Jong 1:2 ✺

16.09.2025 Tristan Schoolkate - Bernard Tomic 0:2 ✺

28.08.2025 Alexander Bublik - Tristan Schoolkate 3:0 ✺

26.08.2025 Lorenzo Sonego - Tristan Schoolkate 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Beibit Zhukayev

29.09.2025 Beibit Zhukayev - Colton Smith 2:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Eliot Spizzirri - Beibit Zhukayev 2:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Nishesh Basavareddy - Beibit Zhukayev 2:0 ✺

03.09.2025 Beibit Zhukayev - Ilia Simakin 1:2 ✺

21.08.2025 Beibit Zhukayev - Zachary Svajda 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Bye
2	Tien L.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
3	Cazaux A.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Norrie C. (30)
5	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
6	Arnaldi M.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
7	Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)	Svrcina D. (Q)	0 : 1
8	Bye	Medvedev D. (16)
9	Khachanov K. (9)	Bye
10	Kovacevic A.	Shang J. (WC)	1 : 2
11	Van De Zandschulp B.	Borges N.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Vukic A. (LL)
13	Nakashima B. (29)	Bye
14	Majchrzak K.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
15	Ugo Carabelli C.	Atmane T. (RET.)	0 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (7)
17	Zverev A. (3)	Bye
18	Royer V. (Q)	Navone M.	2 : 1
19	Rinderknech A.	Medjedovic H. (RET.)	0 : 1
20	Bye	Michelsen A. (28)
21	Shapovalov D. (23)	Bye
22	Dzumhur D.	O'Connell C.	0 : 2
23	McDonald M. (LL)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Lehecka J. (15)
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Bye
26	Giron M.	Tabilo A. (Q)	0 : 2
27	Zhou Y. (WC)	De Jong J.	1 : 2
28	Bye	Mensik J. (17)
29	Darderi L. (26)	Bye
30	Bu Y.	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 1
31	Comesana F.	Blanchet U. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Musetti L. (8)
33	Shelton B. (6)	Bye
34	Goffin D.	Muller A.	2 : 1
35	Opelka R.	Bonzi B.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Diallo G. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
38	Mannarino A.	Berrettini M.	2 : 0
39	Korda S.	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Ruud C. (11)
41	Rublev A. (13)	Bye
42	Nishioka Y. (Q)	Shevchenko A.	2 : 0
43	Munar J.	Fucsovics M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Cobolli F. (22)
45	Tiafoe F. (25)	Bye
46	Sonego L.	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	1 : 2
47	Cilic M.	Basilashvili N. (Q)	2 : 0
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Fritz T. (5)	Bye
50	Marozsan F.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	2 : 1
51	Ofner S. (PR)	Nardi L.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
53	Humbert U. (21)	Bye
54	Thompson J.	Holmgren A. (Q)	2 : 1
55	Zhang Z. (WC)	Baez S.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Rune H. (10)
57	Bublik A. (14)	Bye
58	Djere L.	Vacherot V. (Q)	0 : 2
59	Walton A.	Bellucci M.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Machac T. (20)
61	Griekspoor T. (27)	Bye
62	Brooksby J. (PR)	Trotter J. K. (Q)	2 : 0
63	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Altmaier D.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Tien L.	1 : 2
2	Cazaux A.	Norrie C. (30)	1 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
4	Svrcina D.	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
5	Khachanov K. (9)	Shang J.	0 : 2
6	Borges N.	Vukic A.	2 : 0
7	Nakashima B. (29)	Majchrzak K.	0 : 2
8	Ugo Carabelli C.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
9	Zverev A. (3)	Royer V.	2 : 0
10	Rinderknech A.	Michelsen A. (28)	2 : 0
11	Shapovalov D. (23)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
12	Halys Q.	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	De Jong J.	Mensik J. (17)	2 : 1
15	Darderi L. (26)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
16	Comesana F.	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
17	Shelton B. (6)	Goffin D.	0 : 2
18	Bonzi B.	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (19)	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
20	Bergs Z.	Ruud C. (RET.) (11)	1 : 1
21	Rublev A. (13)	Nishioka Y.	1 : 2
22	Munar J.	Cobolli F. (22)	2 : 0
23	Tiafoe F. (25)	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
24	Cilic M.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Fritz T. (5)	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
26	Nardi L.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
27	Humbert U. (21)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
28	Baez S.	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
29	Bublik A. (14)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2
30	Bellucci M.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
31	Griekspoor T. (27)	Brooksby J.	2 : 1
32	Altmaier D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Tien L.	Norrie C. (30)	2 : 0
2	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
3	Shang J.	Borges N.	1 : 2
4	Majchrzak K.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
5	Zverev A. (3)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
6	Shapovalov D. (23)	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
7	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	De Jong J.	2 : 0
8	Darderi L. (26)	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
9	Goffin D. (RET.)	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 0
10	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
11	Nishioka Y.	Munar J.	1 : 2
12	Hanfmann Y.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
13	Fritz T. (5)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
14	Humbert U. (21)	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
15	Vacherot V.	Machac T. (RET.) (20)	1 : 0
16	Griekspoor T. (27)	Sinner J. (RET.) (2)	1 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Tien L.	Medvedev D. (16)	1 : 2
2	Borges N.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
3	Rinderknech A.	Lehecka J. (15)	2 : 0
4	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Musetti L. (8)	2 : 0
5	Diallo G. (31)	Bergs Z.	1 : 2
6	Munar J.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
7	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	Rune H. (10)	1 : 2
8	Vacherot V.	Griekspoor T. (27)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	De Minaur A. (7)	2 : 0
2	Rinderknech A.	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	2 : 0
3	Bergs Z.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Rune H. (10)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Vacherot V.	0 : 2

Final

1

Rinderknech A.

Vacherot V.

1 : 2