Tristan Schoolkate vs Jesper De Jong – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Tristan Schoolkate - Jesper De Jong
Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
198
Double Faults
66
1st Serve Percentage
54%58%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (48/64)77% (43/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (25/54)59% (24/41)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
23% (13/56)25% (16/64)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (17/41)54% (29/54)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)38% (3/8)
Winners
3934
Unforced Errors
2615
Net Points Won
314% (22/7)65% (15/23)
Service Points Won
62% (73/117)69% (67/97)
Return Points Won
31% (30/97)38% (44/117)
Total Points Won
48% (103/214)52% (111/214)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Tristan Schoolkate
34.5%
Jesper De Jong
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 60.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Schoolkate's form might have worsened.
  • Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tristan Schoolkate - Jesper De Jong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.22)

    1.47
    (1.56)
    3.8%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Tristan Schoolkate - Jesper De Jong?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 1 - 25%). De Jong will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 95. De Jong is ranked ATP: 80.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • De Jong could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Tristan Schoolkate
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 1
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (RET.) (8)1 : 1

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Tien L.2 : 0