Tristan Schoolkate vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Vienna Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi
Result
0:2
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Vienna - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
87
Double Faults
04
1st Serve Percentage
61%55%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (26/34)72% (33/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (12/22)58% (22/38)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)83% (5/6)
1st Return Points Won
28% (13/46)24% (8/34)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (16/38)45% (10/22)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)67% (2/3)
Winners
1826
Unforced Errors
1511
Net Points Won
60% (12/20)71% (10/14)
Service Points Won
68% (38/56)65% (55/84)
Return Points Won
35% (29/84)32% (18/56)
Total Points Won
48% (67/140)52% (73/140)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Tristan Schoolkate
34.2%
Matteo Arnaldi
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Schoolkate's form might have worsened.
  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Arnaldi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.28)

    1.43
    (1.6)
    6.2%
    (6.4%)
    What is the prediction for Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arnaldi (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 96. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 74.
    • Schoolkate has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Arnaldi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arnaldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Arnaldi could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schoolkate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
    29.07.2025 Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi 1:2
    Latest results of Tristan Schoolkate
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Altmaier D.2 : 0
    2Machac T.Cobolli F.0 : 2
    3Cerundolo F.Michelsen A.2 : 0
    4Tabilo A.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Rodionov J. (WC)2 : 0
    6Ugo Carabelli C.Misolic F. (WC)0 : 2
    7Popyrin A.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.Rublev A. (7)2 : 1
    9Medvedev D. (6)Borges N.2 : 1
    10Dzumhur D. (Q)Moutet C.0 : 2
    11Etcheverry T. M.Budkov Kjaer N. (WC)2 : 0
    12Medjedovic H. (LL)Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    13Khachanov K. (5)Griekspoor T.1 : 2
    14Darderi L.Nakashima B.0 : 2
    15Kovacevic A. (Q)Arnaldi M. (Q)0 : 2
    16Fearnley J. (Q)Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cobolli F.
    2Cerundolo F.Bublik A. (8)
    3De Minaur A. (3)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4Berrettini M.Norrie C.2 : 1
    5Medvedev D. (6)Moutet C.
    6Etcheverry T. M.Musetti L. (4)
    7Griekspoor T.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Arnaldi M.Zverev A. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2De Minaur A. (3)Berrettini M.
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Griekspoor T.TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2