Tristan Schoolkate vs Nicolas Jarry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Birmingham Challenger Men Tristan Schoolkate - Nicolas Jarry
Result
1:2
02/06/2025 at 10:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1313
Double Faults
95
1st Serve Percentage
59%58%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (53/72)82% (51/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (19/50)47% (21/45)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
21% (13/62)26% (19/72)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (24/45)62% (31/50)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)33% (4/12)
Unforced Errors
95
Service Points Won
60% (72/121)67% (72/107)
Return Points Won
33% (35/107)40% (49/121)
Total Points Won
47% (107/228)53% (121/228)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)88% (14/16)
Return Games Won
13% (2/16)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
44% (14/32)56% (18/32)

Chances of winning


Tristan Schoolkate
43.8%
Nicolas Jarry
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tristan Schoolkate - Nicolas Jarry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2)

    1.66
    (1.73)
    6.9%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Tristan Schoolkate - Nicolas Jarry?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Jarry will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Jarry (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 128. Jarry is ranked ATP: 149.
    • Neither of the players is performing well right now.
    • Schoolkate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Jarry could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Tristan Schoolkate
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bellucci M. (1)Landaluce M.1 : 2
    2Clarke J. (WC)Harris L. (PR)1 : 2
    3Uchiyama Y. (Q)Smith C. (Alt)1 : 2
    4Moreno De Alboran N. (Alt)O'Connell C. (5)2 : 0
    5Hijikata R. (3)Harris B.2 : 1
    6Watanuki Y. (Q)Blockx A. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Spizzirri E.Tu L. (LL)0 : 2
    8Bolt A. (Q)McDonald M. (8)2 : 0
    9Majchrzak K. (7)Svajda Z. (Q)0 : 2
    10Monday J. (WC)Wong C. (Q)1 : 2
    11Huesler M. (Alt)Mayot H.2 : 0
    12Virtanen O.Vukic A. (4)2 : 0
    13Duckworth J. (6)Holt B.0 : 2
    14Evans D. (WC)Cassone M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Schoolkate T.Jarry N.1 : 2
    16Mannarino A.Nishioka Y. (RET.) (2)1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Landaluce M.Harris L.0 : 2
    2Smith C.Moreno De Alboran N. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Hijikata R. (3)Watanuki Y.2 : 0
    4Tu L.Bolt A.0 : 2
    5Svajda Z.Wong C.1 : 2
    6Huesler M.Virtanen O.1 : 2
    7Holt B.Cassone M.2 : 0
    8Jarry N.Mannarino A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Harris L.Smith C.1 : 2
    2Hijikata R. (3)Bolt A.2 : 0
    3Wong C.Virtanen O.0 : 2
    4Holt B.Mannarino A.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Smith C.Hijikata R. (3)2 : 0
    2Virtanen O.Holt B.2 : 1

    Final
    1Smith C.Virtanen O.0 : 2