Rei Sakamoto vs Tristan Schoolkate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
05/02/2026 at 23:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
49
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
75%53%
1st serve points won
66% (25/38)81% (29/36)
2nd serve points won
54% (7/13)50% (16/32)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)0% (0/0)
1st return points won
19% (7/36)34% (13/38)
2nd return points won
50% (16/32)46% (6/13)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)100% (2/2)
Winners
1418
Unforced errors
2324
Net points won
50% (5/10)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
63% (32/51)66% (45/68)
Return Points Won
34% (23/68)37% (19/51)
Total Points Won
46% (55/119)54% (64/119)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
10
Service games won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return games won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Rei Sakamoto
59.4%
Tristan Schoolkate
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 61%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rei Sakamoto's performance.
  • Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan Schoolkate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-20.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rei Sakamoto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+20.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan Schoolkate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rei Sakamoto - Tristan Schoolkate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.85)

    2.3
    (1.83)
    7.3%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Rei Sakamoto - Tristan Schoolkate?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Games - Sakamoto (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rei Sakamoto will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sakamoto (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 184. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 114.
    • Sakamoto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Schoolkate has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sakamoto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sakamoto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rei Sakamoto - Tristan Schoolkate were as follows:
    04.07.2025 Tristan Schoolkate - Rei Sakamoto 0:2
    21.04.2025 Tristan Schoolkate - Rei Sakamoto 2:0
    Latest results of Rei Sakamoto
    Latest results of Tristan Schoolkate
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Walton A. (1)Nakagawa N. (Q)1 : 2
    2Hewitt C. (WC)Matsuoka H.2 : 0
    3Sach T. (WC)Jasika O.2 : 0
    4Mitsui S. (RET.) (Q)Sweeny D. (5)0 : 0
    5Bolt A. (3)Denolly C.2 : 1
    6Shimizu Y.Tokuda R.2 : 1
    7Blanch Dar.Marinkov P. (Q)1 : 2
    8Moriya H.Uchiyama Y. (8)0 : 2
    9Sun F. (7)Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 0
    10Ellis B.Shiraishi H.2 : 0
    11Dellavedova M. (Alt)Hazawa S. (Q)0 : 2
    12Isomura K. (Q)McCabe J. (4)0 : 2
    13Sakamoto R. (6)Sekulic P. (WC)2 : 0
    14Delaney Ja.Daniel T.0 : 2
    15Hulme M. (Q)Tu L.1 : 2
    16Bouzige M.Schoolkate T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nakagawa N.Hewitt C.1 : 2
    2Sach T.Sweeny D. (5)0 : 2
    3Bolt A. (3)Shimizu Y.2 : 0
    4Marinkov P.Uchiyama Y. (8)1 : 2
    5Sun F. (7)Ellis B.0 : 2
    6Hazawa S.McCabe J. (4)0 : 2
    7Sakamoto R. (6)Daniel T.2 : 0
    8Tu L.Schoolkate T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Hewitt C.Sweeny D. (5)0 : 2
    2Bolt A. (3)Uchiyama Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Ellis B.McCabe J. (4)2 : 1
    4Sakamoto R. (6)Schoolkate T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sweeny D. (5)Uchiyama Y. (8)2 : 0
    2Ellis B.Schoolkate T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sweeny D. (5)Schoolkate T. (2)2 : 1