Cayón vs Tropezón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Alonso A. ,
  • 29', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', 2 - 1, ,
  • 87', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Cayón
31.6%
Draw
29.8%
Tropezón
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 28.4% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 28.1% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Tropezón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Cayón - Tropezón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.64)
    3.07
    (3.18)
    2.37
    (2.42)
    9.3%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Cayón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tropezón has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cayón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cayón - Tropezón were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Tropezón - Cayón 1:2
    31.05.2025 Cayón - Tropezón 1:1
    16.02.2025 Tropezón - Cayón 0:1
    09.08.2023 Tropezón - Cayón 0:2
    09.04.2023 Cayón - Tropezón 2:0
    Latest results of Cayón
    20.12.2025 Cartes - Cayón 0:0
    06.12.2025 Revilla - Cayón 2:2
    23.11.2025 Cayón - Guarnizo 1:1
    16.11.2025 Colindres - Cayón 0:1
    Latest results of Tropezón
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Torrelavega24192361:95259
    2Tropezon24153637:191848
    3Laredo24145540:192147
    4Escobedo24151846:291746
    5Vimenor24144634:221246
    6Atletico Albericia24142844:271744
    7Guarnizo24126631:211042
    8Cayon24125737:28941
    9Torina24115829:30-138
    10Castro24951035:33232
    11Bezana24951023:28-532
    12CD Barquereno23731326:39-1324
    13Revilla24651328:46-1823
    14UC Cartes24571217:37-2022
    15Noja24451516:40-2417
    16Montanas23441525:64-3916
    17Selaya24351614:32-1814
    18CD Colindres24281414:34-2014

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation