Result
3:1
04/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Alonso A. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 87', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cayón 31.6% | Draw 29.8% | Tropezón 38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Tropezón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Cayón - Tropezón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.9 ↑ (2.64) |
3.07 ↓ (3.18) |
2.37 ↓ (2.42) |
9.3% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cayón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tropezón has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cayón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cayón won against Tropezón?
Cayón has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tropezón won against Cayón?
Tropezón has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cayón - Tropezón were as follows:
07.06.2025
Tropezón
-
Cayón
1:2
31.05.2025
Cayón
-
Tropezón
1:1
16.02.2025
Tropezón
-
Cayón
0:1
09.08.2023
Tropezón
-
Cayón
0:2
09.04.2023
Cayón
-
Tropezón
2:0
Latest results of Tropezón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 61:9 | 52 | 59 |
| 2 | Tropezon | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 37:19 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Laredo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:19 | 21 | 47 |
| 4 | Escobedo | 24 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 46:29 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Vimenor | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Atletico Albericia | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 44 |
| 7 | Guarnizo | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Cayon | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 41 |
| 9 | Torina | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Castro | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 32 |
| 11 | Bezana | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 13 | Revilla | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28:46 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | UC Cartes | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Noja | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:40 | -24 | 17 |
| 16 | Montanas | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25:64 | -39 | 16 |
| 17 | Selaya | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14:32 | -18 | 14 |
| 18 | CD Colindres | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 14:34 | -20 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation