Result
0:3
25/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 8
Chances of winning
Tropezón
64.9% | Draw
22.8% | Guarnizo
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tropezón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Guarnizo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Tropezón - Guarnizo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.44) |
3.97 ↑
(3.82) |
7.35 ↑
(6.54) |
10.4%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 2.
- Tropezón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Guarnizo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tropezón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tropezón is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Tropezón will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tropezón won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tropezón won against Guarnizo?
Tropezón has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarnizo won against Tropezón?
Guarnizo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tropezón - Guarnizo were as follows:
27.04.2025
Guarnizo
-
Tropezón
1:1
15.12.2024
Tropezón
-
Guarnizo
2:0
28.01.2024
Tropezón
-
Guarnizo
0:0
09.09.2023
Guarnizo
-
Tropezón
1:0
11.03.2023
Guarnizo
-
Tropezón
1:2
Latest results of Tropezón
Latest results of Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 61:9 | 52 | 59 |
| 2 | Tropezon | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 37:19 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Laredo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:19 | 21 | 47 |
| 4 | Escobedo | 24 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 46:29 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Vimenor | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Atletico Albericia | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 44 |
| 7 | Guarnizo | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Cayon | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 41 |
| 9 | Torina | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Castro | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 32 |
| 11 | Bezana | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 13 | Revilla | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28:46 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | UC Cartes | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Noja | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:40 | -24 | 17 |
| 16 | Montanas | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25:64 | -39 | 16 |
| 17 | Selaya | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14:32 | -18 | 14 |
| 18 | CD Colindres | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 14:34 | -20 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
