Troyes vs Caen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Troyes - Caen
Result
3:0
01/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 21
  • Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.60
Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
1510
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
24
Blocked Shots
82
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
33
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
1514
Offsides
30
Fouls
1415
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1719
Touches in the Opposition Box
1725
Passes
78% (258/330)84% (431/513)
Passes in the final third
62% (60/97)63% (68/108)
Crosses
31% (4/13)29% (6/21)
Tackles
81% (13/16)71% (17/24)
Clearances Total
1932
Interceptions
1413

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Le Bihan M. 🟨,
  • 28', de Preville N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 0, M'Changama Y. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Said R. ,
  • 59', Le Bihan M. , Kyeremeh G. ,
  • 68', de Preville N. , Adeline M. ,
  • 68', Benrahou Y. , M'Vila Y. ,
  • 70', 3 - 0, Diop M. , Adeline M. (A),
  • 75', Sy L. , Henry V. ,
  • 75', Traore B. , Thomas R. ,
  • 84', Irie C. , Assoumou J. ,
  • 85', Gaucho Debohi D. 🟨,
  • 89', Diop M. , Ba P. I. ,
  • 89', Said R. , Detourbet M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2nr74hts

Chances of winning


Troyes
45.1%
Draw
28.8%
Caen
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 26.4% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 20.8% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Troyes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Troyes - Caen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.92)
    3.26
    (3.55)
    3.63
    (3.82)
    5.9%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Troyes - Caen?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Caen will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 3.
    • Recent matches Troyes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Caen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Troyes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Troyes will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Troyes: Phliponeau A. (Injury) Tahrat M. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Troyes won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Caen were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Caen - Troyes 0:1
    27.01.2024 Caen - Troyes 0:0
    04.11.2023 Troyes - Caen 2:1
    Latest results of Troyes
    24.01.2025 Laval - Troyes 1:0
    20.01.2025 Troyes - Annecy 0:1
    15.01.2025 Troyes - Rennes 1:0
    10.01.2025 Rodez - Troyes 2:1
    03.01.2025 Amiens - Troyes 0:3
    Latest results of Caen
    24.01.2025 Caen - Guingamp 0:1
    17.01.2025 Ajaccio - Caen 2:1
    11.01.2025 Caen - Grenoble 0:1
    03.01.2025 Caen - Clermont 0:1
    22.12.2024 Guingamp - Caen 2:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Etienne32108:357
    2Nancy32104:137
    3Troyes32103:127
    4Clermont31204:315
    5Red Star31116:424
    6Montpellier31113:304
    7Reims21103:214
    8Pau FC21103:124
    9Amiens31115:414
    10Le Mans31115:504
    11Annecy31113:4-14
    12Laval30305:503
    13Dunkerque30215:7-22
    14Rodez30211:5-42
    15Bastia20111:2-11
    16Grenoble30123:5-21
    17Guingamp30123:8-51
    18Boulogne20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National