Result
3:0
01/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 21
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 17 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (258/330) | 84% (431/513) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (60/97) | 63% (68/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 29% (6/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 71% (17/24) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Le Bihan M. 🟨,
- 28', de Preville N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 0, M'Changama Y. ⚽,
- 51', 2 - 0, Said R. ⚽,
- 59', Le Bihan M. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
- 68', de Preville N. ↓, Adeline M. ↑,
- 68', Benrahou Y. ↓, M'Vila Y. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 0, Diop M. ⚽, Adeline M. (A),
- 75', Sy L. ↓, Henry V. ↑,
- 75', Traore B. ↓, Thomas R. ↑,
- 84', Irie C. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
- 85', Gaucho Debohi D. 🟨,
- 89', Diop M. ↓, Ba P. I. ↑,
- 89', Said R. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2nr74hts
Chances of winning
Troyes
45.1% | Draw
28.8% | Caen
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Troyes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Troyes - Caen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.92) |
3.26 ↓
(3.55) |
3.63 ↓
(3.82) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Troyes - Caen?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Caen will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 3.
- Recent matches Troyes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Caen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Troyes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Troyes will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Phliponeau A.
(Injury)
Tahrat M.
(Leg Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Troyes won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Caen?
Troyes has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Troyes?
Caen has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Caen were as follows:
26.10.2024
Caen
-
Troyes
0:1
27.01.2024
Caen
-
Troyes
0:0
04.11.2023
Troyes
-
Caen
2:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
