Truro City vs Aldershot Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
03/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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austriaAustriaDAZN
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brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
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italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
121
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
02
Total shots
105
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
121
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', Dewhurst M. 🟥,
  • 43', Abrahams T. , Nash P. ,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Thomas K. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 🟨,
  • 59', Nightingale W. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Law R. , Rooney D. (A),
  • 68', Tetek D. , Henry J. ,
  • 68', Barrett J. , Ghandour H. ,
  • 75', Kite H. , Jephcott L. ,
  • 79', Penman C. 🟨,
  • 80', Bell Z. , Johnson-Fisher D. ,
  • 82', Penman C. , Jackson B. ,
  • 82', Hill R. , Jones R. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Harvey T. ,
  • 88', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Johnson-Fisher D. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Henry J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Truro City
34.4%
Draw
26.9%
Aldershot Town
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 26.1% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 26% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Truro City's performance.
  • Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldershot Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Truro City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldershot Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Truro City - Aldershot Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (3.2)
    3.44
    (3.56)
    2.42
    (2.06)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Truro City - Aldershot Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Truro (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Aldershot (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Truro City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Truro City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Truro (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Aldershot (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Truro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Aldershot has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Truro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Truro City
    30.08.2025 Truro City - Boston United 3:0
    25.08.2025 Boreham Wood - Truro City 2:1
    19.08.2025 Tamworth - Truro City 2:0
    16.08.2025 Truro City - York City 0:2
    Latest results of Aldershot Town
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City433184109:4069101
    2Rochdale43316683:384599
    3Carlisle43268980:512986
    4Boreham Wood432491088:583081
    5Scunthorpe432212975:601578
    6Forest Green4321121073:492475
    7Southend4120111070:403071
    8FC Halifax431991566:60666
    9Hartlepool4216141247:49-262
    10Tamworth4316101757:68-1158
    11Woking4214141461:52956
    12Wealdstone421591863:68-554
    13Solihull Moors4213121767:68-151
    14Yeovil431552347:61-1450
    15Boston Utd4212131755:65-1049
    16Altrincham431462349:63-1448
    17Sutton4311141858:73-1547
    18Gateshead431382252:84-3247
    19Aldershot421372268:80-1246
    20Eastleigh4312102155:78-2346
    21Brackley Town439122238:70-3239
    22Morecambe439112365:90-2538
    23Braintree ✔ 438122335:66-3136
    24Truro ✔ 437102640:70-3031

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Braintree is Relegated to
    Truro is Relegated to