Truro City vs Aldershot Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League Truro City - Aldershot Town
Result
2:2
03/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
121
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
02
Total shots
105
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
121
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', Dewhurst M. 🟥,
  • 43', Abrahams T. , Nash P. ,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Thomas K. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 🟨,
  • 59', Nightingale W. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Law R. , Rooney D. (A),
  • 68', Tetek D. , Henry J. ,
  • 68', Barrett J. , Ghandour H. ,
  • 75', Kite H. , Jephcott L. ,
  • 79', Penman C. 🟨,
  • 80', Bell Z. , Johnson-Fisher D. ,
  • 82', Penman C. , Jackson B. ,
  • 82', Hill R. , Jones R. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Harvey T. ,
  • 88', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Johnson-Fisher D. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Henry J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Truro City
34.4%
Draw
26.9%
Aldershot Town
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 26.1% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 26% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Truro City's performance.
  • Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldershot Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Truro City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldershot Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Truro City - Aldershot Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (3.2)
    3.44
    (3.56)
    2.42
    (2.06)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Truro City - Aldershot Town?
  • Users Predictions: Truro City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Truro City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Truro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Aldershot has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Truro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Truro City
    30.08.2025 Truro City - Boston United 3:0
    25.08.2025 Boreham Wood - Truro City 2:1
    19.08.2025 Tamworth - Truro City 2:0
    16.08.2025 Truro City - York City 0:2
    Latest results of Aldershot Town
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forest Green1385021:71429
    2Rochdale1190223:71627
    3Carlisle1382324:15926
    4Scunthorpe1174021:91225
    5Boreham Wood1274122:13925
    6FC Halifax1363420:21-121
    7Tamworth1363416:17-121
    8York City1154222:111119
    9Southend1254317:11619
    10Yeovil1361617:17019
    11Hartlepool1346312:8418
    12Wealdstone1353519:17218
    13Eastleigh1252514:14017
    14Gateshead1352621:29-817
    15Brackley Town1244410:11-116
    16Aldershot1334627:28-113
    17Boston Utd1234511:16-513
    18Solihull Moors1334614:25-1113
    19Woking1333715:17-212
    20Altrincham1340916:21-512
    21Braintree1332813:22-911
    22Sutton1314815:25-107
    23Truro13211011:22-117
    24Morecambe1021714:32-187

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation