Truro City vs Aldershot Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League Truro City - Aldershot Town
Result
2:2
03/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
121
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
02
Total shots
105
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
121
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', Dewhurst M. 🟥,
  • 43', Abrahams T. , Nash P. ,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Thomas K. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 🟨,
  • 59', Nightingale W. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Law R. , Rooney D. (A),
  • 68', Tetek D. , Henry J. ,
  • 68', Barrett J. , Ghandour H. ,
  • 75', Kite H. , Jephcott L. ,
  • 79', Penman C. 🟨,
  • 80', Bell Z. , Johnson-Fisher D. ,
  • 82', Penman C. , Jackson B. ,
  • 82', Hill R. , Jones R. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Harvey T. ,
  • 88', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Johnson-Fisher D. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Henry J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Truro City
34.4%
Draw
26.9%
Aldershot Town
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 26.1% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 26% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Truro City's performance.
  • Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldershot Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Truro City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldershot Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Truro City - Aldershot Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (3.2)
    3.44
    (3.56)
    2.42
    (2.06)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Truro City - Aldershot Town?
  • Users Predictions: Truro City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Truro City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Truro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Aldershot has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Truro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Truro City
    30.08.2025 Truro City - Boston United 3:0
    25.08.2025 Boreham Wood - Truro City 2:1
    19.08.2025 Tamworth - Truro City 2:0
    16.08.2025 Truro City - York City 0:2
    Latest results of Aldershot Town
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale13110227:72033
    2Boreham Wood1595129:151432
    3Carlisle15102329:171232
    4Scunthorpe1586126:131330
    5Forest Green1585223:121129
    6York City1475230:141626
    7Southend1474323:111225
    8Tamworth1574419:19025
    9FC Halifax1573523:23024
    10Hartlepool1547416:13319
    11Wealdstone1554620:22-219
    12Eastleigh1554616:18-219
    13Yeovil1561817:23-619
    14Gateshead1553722:32-1018
    15Brackley Town1445510:13-317
    16Boston Utd1545615:22-717
    17Solihull Moors1545617:26-917
    18Woking1544720:20016
    19Aldershot1534828:33-513
    20Altrincham15411018:25-713
    21Braintree1533913:24-1112
    22Truro15321015:25-1011
    23Morecambe1432920:39-1911
    24Sutton1516818:28-109

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation