TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Women TSG Hoffenheim - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Result
0:2
12/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 6
  • Referee: Boike J. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.19
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
85% (440/516)75% (269/361)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.981.70
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
127
Passes
85% (440/516)75% (269/361)
Long passes
57% (29/51)41% (27/66)
Passes in final third
68% (77/114)59% (56/95)
Crosses
30% (3/10)36% (9/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.961.20
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
712
Tackles
86% (12/14)73% (16/22)
Duels won
4638
Clearances
3418
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.700.98
Goals prevented
-0.300.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Madl V. , Kehrer C. ,
  • 47', Janssens J. 🟨,
  • 53', Piljic K. 🟨,
  • 60', Steiner M. , Harsch F. ,
  • 68', Grant R. , Bender L. ,
  • 70', Rankin J. , Kaut L. ,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Bender L. , Fudalla V. (A),
  • 79', Zdebel S. , Vidal J. ,
  • 80', Janssens J. , Natter L. ,
  • 80', Delacauw F. , Sinka N. ,
  • 82', 0 - 2, Fudalla V. , Kehrer C. (A),
  • 87', Piljic K. , Daedelow I. ,
  • 88', Fudalla V. , Ostermeier S. ,

Chances of winning


TSG Hoffenheim
43.1%
Draw
26.3%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 26.1% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 26.7% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • TSG Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • TSG Hoffenheim - Bayer 04 Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.31)
    3.5
    (3.45)
    3
    (2.59)
    8.9%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 3.
    • Hoffenheim is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bayer's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hoffenheim is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 62:19. (average 3.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:8. (average 3.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between TSG Hoffenheim - Bayer 04 Leverkusen were as follows:
    04.07.2025 Bayer 04 Leverkusen - TSG Hoffenheim 0:2
    16.02.2025 TSG Hoffenheim - Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1:0
    27.09.2024 Bayer 04 Leverkusen - TSG Hoffenheim 2:1
    18.02.2024 Bayer 04 Leverkusen - TSG Hoffenheim 1:2
    09.10.2023 TSG Hoffenheim - Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2:2
    Latest results of TSG Hoffenheim
    Latest results of Bayer 04 Leverkusen
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W761021:21919
    2Wolfsburg W751126:111516
    3Hoffenheim W741214:7713
    4Freiburg W741216:12413
    5Bayer Leverkusen W741211:12-113
    6Eintracht Frankfurt W740317:12512
    7Union Berlin W731313:10310
    8Werder Bremen W731311:13-210
    91.FC Nurnberg W723210:12-29
    10Koln W72148:14-67
    11RB Leipzig W72148:15-77
    12Hamburger SV W71338:16-86
    13Jena W70257:16-92
    14SGS Essen W70162:20-181

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women